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And Hitler believed in germs!

We’re pretty sure this counts as Nice Time, or something close to it: The Committee for Skeptical Inquiry (CSI), the pro-science group that challenges pseudoscience and paranormal claims, has challenged the climate-change deniers at the Heartland Institute, which loves telling the world that climate change is all just a big hoax and that there’s been no global warming since 1998, to put up or shut up. The terms of the challenge are pretty simple. If the Heartland Institute is so certain that there’s no global warming, then surely it would be willing to stake $25,000 on an easily provable question:

If the 30-year average global land surface temperature goes up in 2015, setting a new record, the Heartland Institute must donate $25,000 to a science education nonprofit.

Heartland clings to several favorite climate denial myths, like the notion that there’s been no increase in the global average temperature since 1998 (Wrong!), and that, as it said in a 2013 report, “natural variability is responsible for late twentieth century warming and the cessation of warming since 1998.” As CSI notes, Heartland constantly questions the predictions and models of climate scientists, but “have avoided making any testable predictions of their own.” In a press release, CSI predicted that the planet would keep getting warmer, regardless of the shade they were throwing at Heartland:

“If anyone really thinks that human-caused global warming is a hoax, and that the climate has stopped heating up, they must also believe that temperatures will now stabilize or drop,” said Mark Boslough, a physicist and CSI Fellow who devised the challenge. “Well, that’s a testable claim, so let’s test it.”

“It’s time for the Heartland Institute to put its money where its exhaust pipe is,” said Ronald A. Lindsay, president and CEO of the Center for Inquiry, home of CSI. “If Earth’s climate gets hotter, and keeps getting hotter, the naysayers at Heartland should publicly own up and pay up.”

CSI agrees to pay $25,000 to an educational nonprofit of Heartland’s choice if the planet’s 30-year average temperature doesn’t increase, too.

Here are the exact terms of the deal:

The (CSI) hereby presents to the Heartland Institute a challenge as to whether the Earth’s climate will set a new record high temperature this year. The challenge will be settled using the NASA GISS mean global land surface temperatures for the conventional climate averaging period (defined by the World Meteorological Organization as 30 years) ending on December 31, 2015. If the global average temperature does not exceed the mean temperature for an equal period ending on the same date in any previous year for which complete data exist, CSI will donate $25,000 to a nonprofit to be designated by Heartland. Otherwise, Heartland will be asked to donate $25,000 to a science education nonprofit designated by CSI. It is CSI’s intent to repeat this challenge every year for the next 30 years.

We predict Heartland will reject the bet, because after all, CSI relies on biased organizations like NASA, and measurements by climate scientists, who just make everything up to get rich. Still, points to CSI for focusing on facts and data, and for promising to keep at this for the next 30 years. Maybe they should also challenge Heartland to hold its 2045 annual meeting at some spot in Florida that’s precisely at sea level right now. MAKE SOME RESERVATIONS, GUYS.

[Committee for Skeptical Inquiry]

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  • Usedtobeyellerdawg

    Just like dirty liberals; trying to entice those innocent conservative Christians into gambling.

  • Lizzietish81

    The left wing needs it’s own sensationalist “news” network with scary headlines to get through to the rubes.

  • JustPixelz

    Sadly, CSI will undoubtably win the bet. Which means we are doomed.

  • memzilla

    I predict that CSI will be as successful getting its money from Heartland as Wonkette was in getting its money from Jim Hoft (Stupidest Man On The Internet Emeritus).

    #paythefuckup

  • alwayspunkindrublic

    What, photos of Hitler, Stalin, or Pol Pot were unavailable, so they had to settle for a Lesser Demon like Ted Kaczynski for their billboard?

    • BeliTsari
      • dshwa

        Shockingly, our otherwise right-leaning alleged democrat of a governor in New York still has kept up his ban of fracking. It’s probably the only thing keeping his father’s ghost from haunting him every night.

        • Thatsit Fortheotherwon

          Aquifers shrinking alarmingly? What harm could a little fracking juice do?

        • BeliTsari

          Nah… It just wouldn’t PAY the gas industry to drill up there, right now. They’ll be BACK, now that the company that invented “gas fracking” went under, somehow some damn idiot will destroy NYC’s (untreated) water source, while I bet ya Philly is already drinking some of the same watered-down Radium-flavored return water as ~850K folks around the Pittsburgh area? http://greengroundswell.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Beaver-Run-Reservoir-in-Westmoreland-County-PA-Photo-Marcellus-Protest.jpg

          • dshwa

            Cuomo has been against it right from the start, even when there was a big push for it a few years back. The industry is still sniffing around, and there’s a secede from NY and join PA movement kicking around several Twin Tiers towns in order to get in on the fracking “bonanza.” Which shows you how stupid people are, because you just have to look across the border to see that fracking didn’t do jack shit for northern PA’s economy. Sure, a few big landowners got somewhat richer, but it didn’t trickle down to anything else.

          • BeliTsari

            Well, aside from venereal disease, truck accidents, meth & heroin… and the AR, TX, LA, Mexican & Chinese 1099 visiting workers, trying to get PA DLI’s swell unemployment. NYC went from getting our gas from Shell’s Mars TLP to getting our gas from NEPA’s gas lines, Constitution PL being the closest to the aquifer.

          • Blank Ron

            I’ve driven a lot through Pennsy’s oil and coal country. Seriously, guys, you couldn’t have used a few of the last fifty (or a hundred) years to tidy things up a bit?

          • BeliTsari

            I was living on a ridgeline in the Poconos when the snow changed to ice storms & hurricanes, such that all the trees & a TRAIN TRESTLE started blowing down. A very courageous Black Mississippi church group & several MS, WV & LA Army Reserve units came up to save our frozen asses. Several of these folks related their disbelief and approbation that MOUNTAINS of beryllium and arsenic flavored coal tailings were crushing whole communities, and “how can these crackers live like this.” We simply ate them, once we dug our AK47s & skinnin’ knives our from our single-wides. Hazleton makes the India’s Yamuna River look like Emerald City.

      • cousin itt

        Fuck. Fuck. Fuck. But I will repeat myself.

        • BeliTsari

          Terry really DOES look just like this too. Organic brain damage from huffing benzine while drinking radium flavored ether… and of course, all that incest!

    • JohnR

      I recall Heartland also used Manson, don’t remember the others.

      • alwayspunkindrublic

        Really?? And here I thought I was being sarcastic…

      • Sheepshagger

        Fidel Castro was the other. The Osama bin laden one didn’t happen as far as I know.

    • JustPixelz

      I would have used Dubya:

      I reaffirm America’s commitment to the United Nations Framework Convention and it’s central goal, to stabilise atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that will prevent dangerous human interference with the climate.

    • Thatsit Fortheotherwon

      Indeed. They had to identify him by name and job title.

      So much easier to go Hitler.

    • LarryHoudini

      Hitler is linked exclusively to vegetarians.

      • jmk

        No, no… they like to throw him at atheists, also too.

  • cousin itt

    I don’t see the Heartland evolving on this subject.

    • AntiDerpomeme

      Evolution is for chimps chumps!

  • Viva La Tabula Raza

    Hey, didn’t congress just defund the NASA GISS mean global land surface temperatures program?

    • Msgr_Moment

      Alternate billboard message: “I still remember how to integrate tan(x)dx. Do you?”

      • JustPixelz

        Yes, I would take the “I’m not a scientist” crowd more seriously if they could solve a first year statistics or calculus problem.

        • PubOption

          This seems to be causing problems, not sure if it is limited to wingnuts http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/weird-news/you-smarter-6-year-old-kids-puzzle-5904264

          • calliecallie

            All I saw there was the carpark puzzle. Which I solved instantly, btw. :-)

          • bobbert

            GTFO, you’re 87ed.

        • SnarkTank

          They only need to do simple math. Like adding $1,000,000 (a gift from an oil company, for instance) to their account balance. And they don’t even have to subtract the taxes!

    • Angry_Cop

      Yes, along with everything else that is not simply spaceflight related.

      They really don’t want any more of this planetary sciencey shit, especially after yesterday’s findings about the world’s aquifers.

  • AntiDerpomeme

    Can CSI up the stakes a bit? My suggestion: If the global average temperature is shown to exceed the mean temperature for an equal period ending on the same date in any previous year for which complete data exist, every climate denier in Washington DC will admit that they are frauds and be forced to resign their posts immediately. Let’s start with this bunch: 72 Percent of Republican Senators are Climate Deniers

    • calliecallie

      CSI could offer the same bet to each of the climate-denying Republican Senators!

  • JustPixelz

    “…measurements by climate scientists, who just make everything up to get rich

    Here’s what Heartland says in a blog post: “… it is also true that pro-government-consensus climate scientists are well-fattened at the government-grant trough.”

    I kinda wonder if researchers are so easily biased by grant money, how much are politicians biased by Koch brothers lucre? Based on an interview sample of one (me), the answer is “a lot”. Peer review that fellow wonketteers.

    • Sheepshagger

      Well now. I guess my old pop must have hidden his millions well after a forty year career in hard research. Cause he’s doing an awful good job of impersonating a seventy year old surf bum with a fifteen year old Camry about now. No surprise that a republican assumes you’d grift grant money.

  • Charles Cates

    They forgot to mention ‘climategate’, the leaked emails of researchers at a British university in which the scientists challenged some findings, as scientists always do.

    There was no ‘gate’ just as there is no conspiracy other than the deniers’.

  • goonemeritus

    Didn’t this same approach fund the construction of the 12 story Wonkette media center when we proved there were racist signs at Tea Party
    events?

    • cousin itt

      Are you referring to Trixel Tower, located in Missoula’s trendy lower midtown?

  • Beowoof14

    Science and facts just aren’t as sexy as all of that oil company green.

  • JohnR

    If you ever read comments at EcoWatch, any article on AGW is swarmed by denier trolls, almost like they get an email calling them to action.

    • alwayspunkindrublic

      Also too, articles about gun violence. I think they set off a pheromones in Wayne LaPierre’s insect brain, rallying the hive to respond.

  • proudgrampa

    Shorthand Heartland response: “Facts? We don’ gotta show you no steenkin’ facts!”

  • Oblios_Cap

    When the southern part of Florida sinks, I’ll have oceanfront property. So there’s an upside for me.

    • Barley_Brains

      You’ll be ass deep in pythons and alligators, but other than that it’ll be just peachy.

      • Anarchy Pony

        And the water will be polluted as fuck by all the chemicals left behind under the water.

    • Oblios_Cap

      Naw; they’ll all be up in Georgia munching on the crackers.

  • PubOption

    Perhaps there should be a new TV series CSI: Climate Change?

  • Antimassacree

    The main rule for playing science is clear: as objectively as possible review data to test hypotheses. Doing so can convince people to change their previously held conclusions, as in “Wow, heavy things and light things do fall at the same rate in a vacuum. Son of a bitch!” This rule is, sadly, not applicable in the realms of religion and political ideology, where what you were led or forced to believe as a child, or an Ayn Rand-reading adolescent, can break your brain’s ability to see anything objectively for a very long time.

    • alwayspunkindrublic

      Wait, wait, you’re saying that there’s no difference between Einstein’s brain and Gohmert’s brain in a vacuum?

      • Thatsit Fortheotherwon

        Minus the shit in Gohmert’s, none whatsoever.

      • Dylan Black

        Well no, both brains would clog the vacuum in equal measure, unless its one of those industrial Wet-Dry ones.

        • alwayspunkindrublic

          Check out the new Dewalt Brain-Vac. Available at Hobby Lobbies and Walmarts throughout the south.

          • Sheepshagger

            Never needs emptying!

        • Msgr_Moment

          A Dyson for Einstein; a Hoover for Gohmert.

      • Sheepshagger

        Gohmert’s brain is the vacuum. A series of tubes, if you will.

      • chicken thief

        Clearly there is a difference between the two. One came up with E=mc(squared) building off other’s work.

        Mah main man Louie Gohmert came up with “aspertions on mah asparagus” all by his own self.

        • Vecciojohn

          The true originals are always misunderstood at first.

      • Steverino247
      • Antimassacree

        Correct! Both fall to the earth with a rate of acceleration of 9.8 meters/second-squared. But let’s remove Louie’s brain and do the experiment. It’s not like he is using it.

  • VandeGraf

    I believe that Heartland makes my blood pressure rise. It has nothing at all to do with my weight or fitness. Those are just the baseless assertions of a medical establishment trying to increase it’s wealth.

  • DahBoner

    I’ll take side bets on whether or not Climate Change deniers are closeted gays…

    http://media1.giphy.com/media/Ea2ogABv7Xzeo/200w_d.gif

    KA-CHING!!!

    • Tony Alexander

      {pun} suckers bet! {/pun}

    • ManchuCandidate

      They really do like Koch… bucks.

  • beatbort

    Last minute add on: If they lose the bet, they also have to give up eating beef for one year. And buy all the rest of us pizza. Cheese pizza,

  • MrBlobfish

    Winner gets to pelt Senator Jim Inhofe with snowballs.

    • alwayspunkindrublic

      With rocks…er…votes inside.

  • Joshua Norton

    I dunno, Dude. CSI is going to have to do some heavy in-depth research in order to poke holes in Heartland’s compelling argument of “Because I said so”.

    I don’t think it can be done.

    • Thatsit Fortheotherwon

      It’s the “naa naa naa” with fingers in their ears that makes it so effective.

  • ManchuCandidate

    At this point, mockery is all we’ve got since the denialist fuckers have done such a wonderful job the last 20 years trying to stop any chance we humans had of stopping MAN MADE climate change from getting worse.

    The one denialist I knew got really upset with me when I pointed out that a political science degree doesn’t make him a science major and that doing so makes him looks even more pathetic. He then tried to claim his MBA makes him even more enlightened but soon stopped as I couldn’t stop laughing while tears of hilarity rolled down my cheeks.

    • Thatsit Fortheotherwon

      Wingnuts. Proof that if you let people shit in their own backyards, they will.

  • diogenez

    I think I’ve missed something in this discussion (mostly because I try to avoid crazy people). According to the climate change denying crowd, what secret and nefarious agenda motivates climate scientists who tell us that there is a problem? Is there something suspicious about trying to keep the planet habitable for our species? Who benefits? All of us right? I understand that the gas and oil crowd will have to find another way to keep making money, but that’s relatively few people – why do so many agree with them? I know this is a terrible naive question to post first thing in the morning, but I’ve only had half a cup of coffee, so please be kind.

    • Joshua Norton

      It’s always been the usual “Liberals are trying to hurt business and raise taxes” crap.

      • Anarchy Pony

        Sometimes it’s a hell of a lot crazier than that.

        • nmmagyar

          Wasn’t there a dust-up a few years ago about “UN Mandated Bicycles”?

    • calliecallie

      What’s that song? It’s all about the money, money…

    • Anarchy Pony

      It’s a commie liberal pagan plot to take over the world! They’ll round everybody up into fema camps and holocaust all the christianists! And destroy capitalism cause they hate freedom to roll coal!!!!!

      • Sheepshagger

        You know that sounds like a program I could get behind. Any word on uniform designs yet?

        • Anarchy Pony

          You like hemp?

          • Sheepshagger

            You holding man?

          • Anarchy Pony

            Ssshhhh!

          • Sheepshagger

            I’m cool man. I’m cool.

      • Villago Delenda Est

        Cleek’s Law. All the time. Full volume.

    • Barry_D

      “According to the climate change denying crowd, what secret and nefarious
      agenda motivates climate scientists who tell us that there is a
      problem?”

      They want the big bucks (hundreds of thousands of $$$$!) to carry out long, painful research, after which they have to release their data and analyses to the piranha pack of their peers.

      The alternative being to go to the fossil fuel companies (e.g., ExxonMobil, which recently posted $40 billion in profits), and get millions of dollars to just talk smack, with no hard work needed.

    • Latverian Diplomat

      Because if there’s a problem, it needs to be researched, which means lots of that sweet grant money, extra grad students to pick up your dry cleaning, huge parties they call “conferences”, you know, the opulent lifestyle of a research scientist.

      Not at all like the severe, sedate, Spartan existence of your typical fossil fuel company executive.

      • jmk

        This question is easily resolved – set up a one-to-one swap in which a fossil fuel company scientist or executive spends a year living on what a research scientist makes, and vice versa. If the money is so sweet, the exec/stooges should jump at the chance.

        My bet is you’d be deafened by the crickets.

    • D_C_Wilson

      The evil hippie scientists want to make millions! thousands in research grants and then destroy freedumbs and impose soshalizm on us.

      Plus I’m sure gay sharia law is in their somewhere.

    • Free market capitalism is God’s own economic system.
      Climate change will mean imposing restrictions on free market capitalism.
      Therefore climate change is a SATANIC COMMUNIST PLOT

    • laineypc

      Isn’t it obvious? 97% of climate scientists are willing to risk their reputations to fraudulently present data to sustain their narcissistic need to feed on adulation and fame.

  • BeliTsari

    Maybe, they could hire 90yr old, PR genius Don Draper, to meditate, while overlooking Goleta Beach?

  • chicken thief

    Whoa. Lefty nerds grow some balls? This one of the signs of the Apocalypse?

    • nmmagyar

      CFI is pretty ballsy. An old friend of mine is one of their Research Fellows.

  • chicken thief

    Maybe one of the hosts of the Republican debates will ask the candidates what their thoughts are on this.

    GOTCHA THERE FOR A SEC, DIDN’T I?!!! Ahahahahahaha!!!!

    • willi0000000

      not even an attosecond!

  • VirginiaLady

    Wow, scientists getting all uppity and smart acting. Bets that they don’t take the challenge because gambling is a sin!

  • cousin itt

    New Pope today:

    Pope Francis called Thursday for a bold cultural revolution to correct what he calls the “structurally perverse” economic system of the rich exploiting the poor that is turning Earth into an “immense pile of filth.” http://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/pope-urges-sweeping-change-save-planet-n377556

    • cousin itt

      I’ve downloaded the Encyclical and read the first ten pages so far. All I can say is, OMG.

      • Villago Delenda Est

        Francis needs to be sure his food tasters are honest people.

        • Lord-Nash

          Diet Pope?

      • Blank Ron

        Link, SVP?

        • Thaumaturgist

          Try w2.vatican.va and click Laudato Si

          • Blank Ron

            Found it. Thanks!

    • D_C_Wilson

      Fox has already dismissed the Pope as a dangerous bearded Marxist filthy hippie. At least until he talks about gays or abortion again. Then he’ll go back to being infallible.

    • willi0000000

      undercover pope?

    • In before “LIVES IN A PALACE AND DOESN’T PERSONALLY PUNCH OUT RAPIST PRIESTS AND THINKS GAY ABORTIONS ARE SINFUL AND BELIEVES IN INVISIBLE SKY FAIRY SO I STILL HATE HIM”.

      Some people have an issue believing that people can be cool on some issues and suck on others. Like Bernie Sanders and Israel.

  • sillyclucker

    Here in middle GA , it has been over 100 degrees more than once and it’s not yet officially summer. I will feel lucky to survive since I work outdoors and am now an olds. : (

    • Villago Delenda Est

      Ouch. With the humidity (I’ve spent two summers at Fort Gordon) that really sucks.

      • sillyclucker

        Immensely. Yes, that’s with 100% humidity.

        • Blank Ron

          Isn’t 100% humidity another way of saying ‘pouring rain’?

          • sillyclucker

            No actually. It just means the air can’t hold anymore water vapor. It means when you sweat, it won’t evaporate. The air temp has to drop in order for the air to release the vapor as rain. The quicker and farther it drops, the harder it rains.

          • Blank Ron

            I probably knew that. Once.

          • sillyclucker

            Disclosure: I had to look it up.

    • SuspectedDemocrat

      Heartland recommends burning more coal to power air conditioning. Problem solved forever!

  • D_C_Wilson

    pay $25,000 to an educational nonprofit

    The problem here is that they’ve confused the Heartland Institute with words like “donate” and “nonprofit.” Right now, they’re sitting in their offices scratching their heads trying to figure out how that benefits them.

  • Gristle McThornbody
  • SuspectedDemocrat

    Good luck, I’m still waiting for these clowns to accept my bet regarding the theory of gravity.

    • Vecciojohn

      Haven’t you heard of the theory of intelligent falling?

      • Bitter Scribe

        That’s what the coyote did in the Road Runner cartoons when he realized he’d stepped off a cliff and frantically pedaled his legs until he got back on solid ground, right?

  • Vecciojohn

    That does it. I’m going to spend the coming decade getting PhD in Science and get in on all this sweet grant money.

  • Me not sure

    Can I get a little side action going on this?

  • OneYieldRegular

    Heartland will use its own data from its thermometer over there on the wall near the water cooler, yeah, that one, the one under the air conditioner.

  • JD Mulvey

    25K is nothing to the Koches … they pay less than that for a typical Congressman.

    • Thaumaturgist

      The thing with Congress is that if youve got a Gerrymandered district, your competitors are all as nutty as you are so the Kochs get you at a discount. It costs more to buy someone from a competitive district.

  • Fly

    The reason republicans fear admitting human caused climate is that people would want to do something about it. It would cost the poor too much money.

    • Bitter Scribe

      The poor Koch brothers, yes.

  • TheBidenator

    Good luck with that CSI, I mean don’t get me wrong it’s a great idea but this is the Koch brothers we’re talking about- the slimiest lizards on the planet. To me their greatest hit of all-time is the time where after surviving cancer, David Koch was able to secure a seat on a prestigious cancer charity which is all well and good. The problem is Koch is a greedy scumbag so when Formaldehyde was due to be classified as a carcinogen of course because Georgia Pacific a Koch brothers company is one of the largest producers of the chemical they fought and undermined the classification. Needless to say when they found out about this the charity was less than pleased and David Koch was removed pretty quickly. The funniest part of it all is that before this event David Koch had an epiphany that cancer and carcinogens are bad and yet he couldn’t survive one test of his ‘principles’ if they impeded the gravy train at all.

    So yes and sorry to be cynical but good luck with that CSI

  • AngryKatie

    Even my father, long prone to rants about Al Gore, natural cycles, and other Foxian claptrap, has finally conceded that yeah, the climate is changing.

    I suspect it’s got something to do with his moving from Mississippi to Atlanta.

    I mean it’s still the south, but it’s not MISSISSIPPI south.

  • Robb

    Sigh… after seeing that billboard, I gotta officially add Heartland Institute to my shit list. It’s one thing to argue and disagree, but it’s another thing to associate a scientific fact with an insane person in order to push propaganda. Doing this is on par with saying “Bin Laden believed the was Moon was real. Do you?”

    • Dorothy Nelson

      Hitler loved dogs! Do you?

      • NationalGalleryofClipArt

        Adbusters lost me after their Y2K era GAP trashing, punctuated with “Hitler wore khakis” (& maybe he did… but did he wear dungarees?).

        & yes the GAP is trash, but so too apparently is Adbusters.

        • Thaumaturgist

          Hitler’s daddy ate grits.

  • afisher

    There are many things wrong at Bloomberg news, but they do have a great “watch this” animation of the global temperatures. You can even click on a line and see the year – which is great considering the hand wringing that occurred when “the pause” was debunked. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2015-06-18/this-year-is-headed-for-the-hottest-on-record-by-a-long-shot

  • darnyoudarnyoutoheck

    The denialists just keep burying their heads deeper in the sand. everything climate science has been predicting for 30+ years is happening NOW, right in front of our eyes. It is fucking terrifying. I had to stop looking at the cool NASA photos of super-typhoons because hyperventilation makes me dizzy.

  • laineypc

    Let’s see…anti-vaxers are willing to bet their kids’ (and other people’s) health on pseudoscience. When it comes to ideology, people don’t behave rationally.

  • Albert E Short

    Nuh uh! The NASA/NOAA models are shown lacking by longitudinal studies. A list of temperature readings from the roof of the Bulgarian Barber College on Breitbart – it’s academic AND published. Dumb lie-bruls!

    • John Samuel

      Brainfart is a science source? Who knew?

      • Albert E Short

        Over the last 20 years, I’d say brain farts have overtaken cattle flatus as a cause of global warming.

  • davidfriedman

    If I correctly understand this, the challenge is a bogus one. They are predicting that the 30 year average will go up. But Heartland’s claim is no warming since 1998–a period of only seventeen years. If temperature was rising until then and constant from 1998 on, the thirty year average would continue to go up until 2028, since the early end of the averaging period includes a time when temperature was rising.

    Either I misunderstand this, the committee is deliberately making a fraudulent challenge, or the people designing the challenge are mathematically incompetent.

    • edsheppa

      Of course you’re right, it is bogus in reality, but rhetorically useful.

      However there are may reasonable bets that could be made. For example it could be decade-to-decade mean temp increases from 2005-2014 to 2015-2024. Compare the predictions of the climate models that predict high climate sensitivities to CO2 and predictions of, say, random walk models with observations. If the reality is substantially more probable for the climate models than the others, Heartland pays out, otherwise CSI does.

  • edsheppa

    A climate bet based on one year? What part of “weather isn’t climate” don’t these clowns get?

    Oops, I momentarily fell into climatista name-calling mode, sorry. Please imagine me making that same point in a non-hostile fashion.

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