RISE OF THE MACHINES  9:15 am November 7, 2012

Terrifying Numbers-Wizard Nate Silver Predicts Electoral College; Future Elections To Be Replaced By Math

by Josh Fruhlinger

This is how punditry endsGood morning, America! Does this map look familiar to you? Of course it does, it’s the map appearing on every newspaper website in the country, indicating which party won all the various states in the Electoral College in last night’s election. Except this particular map actually comes from Nate Silver’s math and numbers emporium, and was created before any votes were counted! Is this proof that all elections will be replaced by the soulless beeping of IBM computers? Let’s hope!

The creepiest thing about Nate’s prediction is that the only state that he didn’t claim better than 79% certainty about was Florida, which he called as an almost exact tie (probability of going for Obama: 50.3%). Naturally Florida is, as of this writing, leaning towards Obama but still too close to call.

Anyway, we would like to urge everyone to go read this Politico piece again about how dumb and wrong Nate is and how math and numbers are ruining political punditry forever, and then laugh and laugh at how upset people were by the concept that you could tell how an election might turn out by asking people in advance how they’ll vote and then figuring a way to accurately assess the answers they give. And then turn yourself into your local processing center to have your brains replaced by microchips and your guts by circuitry, because everything great about being a human being in general and a political pundit in particular has now been ruined forever.

 
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{ 410 comments }

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:18 am

Political pundits need to seek a new line of work. I suggest wedding planning.

o/t – Allen West(FL-Reprobate) OUT.

ph7 November 7, 2012 at 9:19 am

Gay wedding planning. It's a growing field. Or maybe open a smoke shop in Boulder.

OneDollarJuana November 7, 2012 at 9:54 am

Actually, in WA. I believe CO is failing the pot initiative.

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:57 am

Colorado and Washington won. Oregon failed – too many Mormons there.

zumpie November 7, 2012 at 10:22 am

Too many Mormons and not nearly as progressive as it likes to pretend it is (also you'd be surprised what uptight, pearl clutching, Betty Draper type busybodies all the Portland hipster moms really ARE).

CO probably passed it along libertarian lines, WA really simply IS more liberal than OR

Jimmyone November 7, 2012 at 11:03 am

Yesss…I was lighting "Bowls for 'Bama" all night long…what happened?

Terry November 7, 2012 at 9:42 am

A lot of walking embarrassments were voted out or not voted in last night. West, Akin, Mourdock, Bartlett, Walsh. Too bad Bachmann didn't join them.

docchaos November 7, 2012 at 2:40 pm

Enough Dems in her district chose cheap laughs on Wonkette over party and country to kept her in office.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

It's not the first position that West has been dishonorably discharged from.

Isyaignert November 7, 2012 at 10:25 am

And Allen Grayson is back IN!!!!

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 10:42 am

Wait. You want people who bucked the historical tide of 98% re-election to Congress to plan *anything*????

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 10:52 am

Now THIS is news I like to wake up to!

Troubledog November 7, 2012 at 9:18 am

Being smart is sexy again.

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 9:55 am

For some of us, it never wasn't.

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 1:32 pm

John Hope Bryant ("The Silver Rights Movement") has been pushing this concept for a while, and I think it is a good one.

sudden_eyes November 7, 2012 at 1:42 pm

Or – "Brainy is the new sexy," as Irene Adler said earlier this year in "A Scandal in Belgravia" (BBC's "Sherlock").

just_a_head November 7, 2012 at 1:48 pm

I've known it all along. *wink, wink*

dr_giraud November 7, 2012 at 9:18 am

All hail our gay robot wizard overlords!

HateMachine November 7, 2012 at 9:52 am

Did someone say wizard overlords?
http://i.imgur.com/srTAv.jpg

ManchuCandidate November 7, 2012 at 9:19 am

A hearty 220dB "HA-HA" at Unskewedpolls guy.

Where's your landslide, Macho man?

weejee November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

Looks like Morning Joe will have to be writing a check after his bet with Saint Nate. And Dick Morris got his come-upins. A marvelous schadenfreude strudel.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:31 am

There was no point to Unskewedpolls beyond mitigating Republican voter suppression, and having "one of their own" the way Right-Wingers and Christianists always have to have their own versions of things normal people enjoy.

Terry November 7, 2012 at 9:43 am

It will be interesting to see what happens to Unskewedpolls now that he was so utterly and profoundly wrong. As he's conservative, though, he may toddle right along as if nothing happened.

BlueMonkeh November 7, 2012 at 10:08 am

New numbers guru on Fox – gotta be a done deal by now (judging by all the other sacks of fail they employ).

GunToting[Redacted] November 7, 2012 at 10:17 am

There is a 127% chance of this happening.

redarmyzombie November 7, 2012 at 8:22 pm

Say, do you remember when Fox News had an astrologist on their Business Channel?

starfanglednut November 7, 2012 at 11:15 am

You mean put his fingers in his ears and sing "lalalalala I am not listening to you"?

Biel_ze_Bubba November 7, 2012 at 11:16 am

UnscrewedPolls will morph into a page on Conservapedia, where it will can remain well-insulated from reality.

krazyvladimir November 7, 2012 at 11:59 am

Abandoned domain name taken over by a porn site………. perhaps pole dancing live strippers…

Studebaker Hawk November 7, 2012 at 9:56 am

If you take out the states that were biased against Republicans, then Romney won by a landslide.

sewollef November 7, 2012 at 11:19 am

You see, that's it exactly.

Bias played such a big part in this election. and that's without mentioning the $100 million the Cock Brothers spent. Doh. I said I wasn't going to mention the Cock brothers $100 million… oh fuck, I've just one it again.

Sorry.

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 10:17 am

I said it when he started his postings:

You can work the ref, you can't work the scoreboard.

The sad thing is, if this asshole hadn't gotten all rowdy, the conservatives might have paid a bit more attention to the real polls and started doing the work they needed to do in Virginia and Wisconsin to win the damned thing.

Not that I'm complaining, mind you, just laying out the argument I'll be making when my conservative friends all go, "But…but…UnskewedPolls!"

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 10:22 am

Don't give them any Pro Tips!

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 10:27 am

Listen, the Congressional caucus went even MORE batshit rightwing last night, so I don't think we're in any danger, except, you know, for getting shit done and maybe saving people from yet another catastrophic storm.

ManchuCandidate November 7, 2012 at 10:30 am

Like they're going to listen to egghead liebrul sissies.

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 10:44 am

I wanted to go post on his site– my schaden is feeling a little freude-y today — but my fucking firewall blocks it.

Barbara_ November 7, 2012 at 9:20 am

I've been doodling "Mrs. Nate Silver, Barb Silver, Nate and Barbara Silver" all morning. Nate, call me!

Terry November 7, 2012 at 9:27 am

Isn't it nice when facts win out over gut feelings and "momentum"?

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 9:58 am

Funny how that works…

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 1:34 pm

Terry:

Don't forget (r)Money's Secret Sauce – "Enthusiasm."

ttommyunger November 7, 2012 at 9:31 am

Oh, puleeze! Two hours alone with you would kill that poor kid deader than a wedge.

Jus_Wonderin November 7, 2012 at 9:33 am

Barb, can't we try a polygamy thing?

Whoops. Polyandry

elviouslyqueer November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

Hate to tell you this, but you'd have to grow a penis first, darling.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

With votes?

Terry November 7, 2012 at 9:44 am

I'd settle for being his adoring Auntie who spoils him rotten.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

I *likes* the sound o' that!

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

It would be a lonely life, Barb! Nate has two Mistresses, Numbers and Dudes.

Barbara_ November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

Man, I am striking out left and right with men lately.

Biel_ze_Bubba November 7, 2012 at 11:18 am

Striking out left and right? You're a switch-hitter?

Flat_Earther November 7, 2012 at 10:32 am

I have calculated the probability of Nate calling to be less than 5%. On the other hand polling suggest a high probability of contact from Flat Earth if he had your number.

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 1:33 pm

Nate and Barbara,
Sitting in a tree…

Pat_Pending November 7, 2012 at 2:42 pm

…countin' numbers,
one, two, three…

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 3:55 pm

Then comes love;
Then comes an election.

Then comes Nate Silver's great big
.
.
.
.
.

Selection.

[You have a dirty mind!]

FNMA November 7, 2012 at 9:20 am

Off topic, but I woke up this morning and gay marriage won, legalized weed won, Barry O. won, Elizabeth Warren won…Jesus, how much did I have to drink last night?

Also off topic, woke up this morning thinking, Who has their country back now, motherfuckers?

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:23 am

I woke up this morning feeling slightly hungover even though I didn't drink. I did however, celebrate Colorado style.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:38 am

Colorado Colitas.

DCBloom November 7, 2012 at 10:27 am

" Celebrate Colorado style" is now my new favorite euphemism for smoking weed

Jimmyone November 7, 2012 at 11:13 am

I stepped outside early this morning to smoke a little FREEDOM bowl…

just_a_head November 7, 2012 at 2:03 pm

Can't decide:

"Let's get to a Washington state."

"Time to talk about Colorado!"

"Enjoy my recreational freedoms"

"Colorado, anyone?"

PennyDreadful November 7, 2012 at 2:36 pm

If Coors is "Colorado Kool-Ade", what would MJ be? Colorado Coriander?

MozakiBlocks November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

I think that this election more than 2008 signals that "change has come to America".

RomneysLogCabin November 7, 2012 at 10:13 am

When I went outside to grab the paper, I found an Obama phone, food stamps and a nuva ring rolled up inside. Life is good.

hagajim November 7, 2012 at 12:03 pm

Unfortunately I think gridlock still has the country….maybe I'll just get high.

finette_ November 7, 2012 at 12:52 pm

Tyler, TX, where my aunt lives, voted yesterday to finally allow retail sales of beer and wine (but not spirits…yet), and the asshole Baptist minister who led the opposition says in the paper that he's preparing to file a lawsuit because "I want my city back." That phrase always was meaningless, but now it's even more so.

weejee November 7, 2012 at 9:20 am

Hopefully Drudge Lite will soon fade to history's dustbin. Nate rulez!

bureaucrap November 7, 2012 at 9:21 am

To be fair to the pundits, Nate Silver probably could not toss a word salad nearly as garbledly as Mooselini. Failure like that takes a certain weird skill.

tessiee November 7, 2012 at 10:00 am

Also not as good with the fancy pageant walkin', and such.

mrpuma2u November 7, 2012 at 10:15 am

We need to get new pundits, with the exception of Rachel Maddow. All the rest of those bubble headed twits couldn't out math a 4th grader.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 9:21 am
Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:25 am

Looks like the Dems won there also.

sullivanst November 7, 2012 at 9:32 am

In the prediction business, it helps to try to see the world as it is, not as you hoped it would be.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:00 am

Yah, that whole "reality" thing is a bitch…

Biel_ze_Bubba November 7, 2012 at 11:21 am

What, fact-check before you open your mouth? That's just so old school.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

It's interesting, but the job of every red dart on that graphic was not to render an accurate prediction, but to inflate Republican voter turnout. So it's a no-brainer that they were "wrong."

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 9:51 am

Interesting that the Democrats were trying to scare their voters to the polls with how Obama was losing, while Rethugs were trying to make it seem like their voters would be on a winning team…

BlueMonkeh November 7, 2012 at 10:11 am

They don't want to play if they don't think they're going to automagically win.

LesBontemps November 7, 2012 at 10:47 am

I just like the fact that they got the pictures all screwed up for Gingrich, Rove and Douthat.

hagajim November 7, 2012 at 12:09 pm

At least most of the blue darts hit the dartboard. Dick Morris just made himself an even bigger laughingstock – if that's possible. Anyone see what ol' Morning Joe Douchebag had to say today?

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 5:01 pm

Yes – what a bundle of excuses. "This isn't your father's America anymore" is one of the lines.

Then he said he didn't see that 2012 was going to be the same turnout as 2008. He thought we would revert to 2000 or 2004. But then he said 2012 was unique.

Well, if it was unique, how could it be a repeat of 2008?

I think I saw the clip on Media Matters for America. A remarkably smarmy performance. Perhaps we won't have Dick Morris to kick around any more…

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:31 pm

this is a thing of beauty.

LabRodent November 7, 2012 at 9:22 am

Math and Science have a Liberal bias

weejee November 7, 2012 at 9:27 am

Yes they do, since cogent thought is needed to work with either successfully.

RomneysLogCabin November 7, 2012 at 9:22 am

Nate, please redistribute all those 'service jobs' you've accumulated.

-Your #1 fan

Mumbletypeg November 7, 2012 at 9:43 am

I think you can only claim "#1 Fan" status if you like sexted him or something!

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 9:23 am

Now the pundits will begin telling us why we voted the way we did and what Barry needs to do in his next 4 years. What useless dolts.

BoroPrimorac November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

If you're a republican pundit, this clobbering means that the president must move to the middle and kiss the GOP's ass in order to get anything done in the next four years.

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 9:42 am

I've already heard that drivel.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:42 am

That is exactly what Donny Douche or whatever his name is was saying on Morning Blowhard as I ran out the door this morning.

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 9:51 am

"He never went barhopping with the Speaker or invited Paul Ryan to dinner".

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 10:44 am

WTF would he? Two gasbags who obviously are about as much fun as a case of hemorrhoids. Or is it two hemorrhoids who obviously are about as much fun as a case of gasbags? Either way, ewwww.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 9:53 am

Well, all those red pundits are saying already how his non-mandate should be conciliatory and how he had better come begging, hat in hand, to Boner and the Turtle….

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:35 pm

I love that Mitch McConnell is telling Obama to move to the center, when Barry won his race and the Senate stayed in Democratic hands in what was supposed to be a prime opportunity for the Reeps to flip it.

Yeah, what Nelson Muntz said…

smashedinhat November 7, 2012 at 9:23 am

"Math is like AstroLube. To be denied at all costs."
The MSM.

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

Can't comment. Busy planning my gay wedding with pot laced wedding cake.

weejee November 7, 2012 at 9:28 am

No surprise that in our neighborhood things did get a bit festive last night . Hurray on marriage for all, hurray on legalizing marijuana, and hurray on re-electing Obama!!!

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:41 am

And no one will have to run to the abortionplex before January either.

prommie November 7, 2012 at 9:58 am

Can heteros get gay married? I mean, if we have a a gay sponsor or something, does the club have a hetero auxiliary branch? Cause me and my intended would totally dig on a legally pot-laced wedding cake!

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 10:01 am

Oh yes, pot laced baked goods for all!

Wait. How have I not opened a bakery already?

NorthStarSpanx November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

You want hard math? GQ got their hands on Mitt's real speech:

We even got Oregon, which was a pleasant surprise. All of this was cited in a study conducted by the Association of Families and Values back in 2004. This is hard evidence, Mr. President.

Mumbletypeg November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

Thanks Josh. Say what's the over/ under of scoring some sweet, sweet video-capture of Governor Christie blubbering into his hankie while listening to "his President's" victory speech?
I know it's a lot to hope for, I am still in *wishful thinking* mode until last night's reality sets in.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

Somebody might trade you for some more underwear pics!

Mumbletypeg November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

haha — you bet your britches they might!

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

"A Close but Decisive Victory?" What in the hell does that even mean?

missemish November 7, 2012 at 11:10 am

That bugged the shit out of me too. Uhhhh how does winning basically all of the swing states constitute as *narrow*?

MissusBarry November 7, 2012 at 11:51 am

Somewhere in between a landslide and a recount.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 9:24 am

Let's look at what this election means:

* The Affordable Care Act will go forward. Insurance companies won't be able to policy-rape the old, the sick, and the poor.
* Medicare and Medicaid will not be turned into a voucher system.
* Social Security will not be privatized.
* Roe v. Wade will not be challenged, at least this term.
* The Supreme Court will not be packed with clones of Scalia and Roberts.
* Regulation of Wall Street will not be reversed.
* Regulation of industrial polluters will not be reversed.
* Big Bird won't have his nest foreclosed on.
* We won't be getting into war with Iran.
* FAIL: The .01% increasing its rapery of the 99%.
* FAIL: The GOP stratagery of being the party of angry white men.
* FAIL: Candidates who base their campaigns on lies, lies, and more lies.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:31 am

I'm pretty sure this: "The GOP stratagery of being the party of angry white men. " Will go on… and to illustrate, John McCain was yelling at people to "get off his lawn" last night again.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

Of course it will continue. However — sorry, I forget the source — every election cycle, the white voting population goes down by 1%, and the Hispanic voting population goes up by 1%. Demographic trendline FAIL, Rethuglicans.

weejee November 7, 2012 at 10:20 am

That would require them doing the math. When the numbery science questions what they know in their knower they simply get out their hatchet and dispatch that which offends and their domain shrinks bit by bit. They're sorta like the poor polar bears on the ever diminishing pack ice, but the shrinking icebergs aren't the fault of those honky polar bears.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

Thank you, that kind of gets me out of some of my gloom about 4 more years of House-supplied gridlock.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

Here's something else to degloomify you: We will never again hear "Americans sent a clear message with the 2010 elections." In fact….

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 10:18 am

We will have another chance in 2014 to take back the House. Keep on believing.

FNMA November 7, 2012 at 9:41 am

* FAIL: The pro-rape agenda. Who would have thought that being pro-rape would be a bad political strategy? Guess you just can't count on the rapists to come through on election day.

elviouslyqueer November 7, 2012 at 9:51 am

* Jan Brewer's headless corpse will be found somewhere in the Sonoran desert.
* Mitch McConnell will be shipped off to the Galapagos Islands to join the rest of his family.
* Shares in bourbon distributors, Visine, and facial tissue will soar on news that John Boehner refuses once again to work with "that one."
* Mitt Romney announces that he is running for president of the Cayman Islands.

Zango Crudmonger November 7, 2012 at 12:20 pm

Copy and pasties *.* xoxo

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:33 pm

mem judging from the content and quality of your comments this AM, you were not as badly behaved as i was last PM.

veritass November 7, 2012 at 9:25 am

NERDS WIN! YAY!

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:28 am

Did you ever hear of a recent election where it didn't matter WTF FLORIDA did?

Guppy November 7, 2012 at 9:36 am

1864?

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 10:59 am

There should be a suicide watch put on the entirety of The Villages.

Eh, on second thought, let em go ahead. We already killed em. WITH VOTES!!!!!

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:33 pm

well '08 if memory serves.

elgin_pelican November 7, 2012 at 2:17 pm

I see Florida counting votes slowly…..one by one….and looking at us out of the corner of her eye to see if we're still paying attention….

UW8316154 November 7, 2012 at 9:30 am

Sour grapes are already: "Obama's big win does not mean Nate Silver is a towering electoral genious." Oh. Really? Why is that?

Zango Crudmonger November 7, 2012 at 11:44 am

Mwah? linky?

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:38 pm

What ZC said–I am dying to see this!

Lascauxcaveman November 7, 2012 at 1:26 pm

Meh. It's just a somewhat pouty Salon article on how Nate called everything exactly right, and how anyone can do the same thing, by carefully analyzing and quantifying state polls.

GhostBuggy November 7, 2012 at 2:25 pm

But all these stats triumphalists have it wrong. Nate Silver didn't nail it; the pollsters did.

Yes, Slate, I think that's rather the point: pundits are completely useless, and it's not about magic or gut feelings or momentum or whatthefuckever else. It's about having eyes and a brain.

Lucidamente1 November 7, 2012 at 9:30 am

With this data set, I predict that Nate Silver has a 95.7% chance of getting at least one offer of sexual favors from a Wonkette commentator.

MozakiBlocks November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

See Barb's posts above!

Lucidamente1 November 7, 2012 at 9:41 am

Revised upwards to 100%.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:05 am

At least.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 9:57 am

Oh, Lucid, you've already offered, haven't you?….

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 9:31 am

OT: Of all the bad-to-neutral news here in local Michigan races, last night, I was pleased to see that the Dems picked up two seat son the State Board of Education, leaving only 2 Republicans out of 8 seats on the board. Looks like we won't be having any debates on evolution and textbooks anytime soon, thank the FSM.

Yeah, nerds did well, last night.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

Well the EM crap went down the toilet anyway….but we've still got that idiot Beneshek, so ….hm….anyway, we get to build the bridge, which should bring us some income….

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 10:02 am

I know, right? Total mixed bag. The Supreme Court divide stayed the same, though, the woman we did get on the court is a rising star. We narrowed the our deficit in the State House. But, we loss all the possible pick-ups, so our congressional delegation divide is the same…well, one down for the Dems since redistricting combined two of our seats.

But, yeah, that bridge is thousands of good-paying union jobs, so Matty Moroun can eat it. Fucker wasted tens-of-millions of dollars on two proposals that failed spectacularly.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 10:41 am

Can he write that off, tax-wise? 'Cause I for one would like it to bite him in the wallet hard….

GhostBuggy November 7, 2012 at 2:26 pm

I'd like for that judge to stick him back in that cell.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:07 am

That nutcase, Wu, running for the Kansas BoE also got his fanny paddled and Indiana's Superintendent of Education is now a Democrat and former (union) school teacher…

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 10:09 am

Nice!

e_z November 7, 2012 at 9:31 am

Look for Ruth Bader Ginsburg to give her notice. Confirmation of her replacement will take about a year. During which time Scalia, et.al. continue to give away the country.

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 9:40 am

That poor desperately ill lady is a hero for hanging on this long.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:07 am

Amen, amen, amen. A heroine and a patriot.

Lascauxcaveman November 7, 2012 at 1:30 pm

She's a peach. Whoever we get in her seat won't be quite the same. I am having a John Paul Stevens type of sad, contemplating this.

Barrelhse November 7, 2012 at 9:56 am

We should carry a banana peel at all times, in case we spot Scalia on a stairway somewhere.

GunToting[Redacted] November 7, 2012 at 10:25 am

Considering Thomas is halfway up Scalia's ass, this is a true "two birds one stone" strategy.

Isyaignert November 7, 2012 at 10:34 am

Just what I was thinking. It'd be a real shame if he were to have an accident or sumptin' like that.

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 10:49 am

Don't forget–'with votes'.

ph7 November 7, 2012 at 9:32 am

Hmm. Science and reason prevails over superstitious belief. This political trend trumps all others.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:33 am

Local paper's Headline:
"Obama reaches out to a divided nation"

Not "Obama wins re-election."

Arsehats. You know that if Romney had won, that would have been in block letters.

Fukui-sanYesOta November 7, 2012 at 9:33 am

Nate owned the hell out of the doubters. Unskewed polls? natesilverwrong.com? The math geneeeeiouseses on free republic? Half the damn pundits on TV? All completely and brutally raped to death by polls and statistics and votes.

Gives me a warm feeling inside. Can't say I ever really lost the faith, but it was a little nervy there for a while.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:43 am

Seeing John King have to publicly wipe the jizz from his face last night was PERFECT.

ChillBill November 7, 2012 at 9:52 am

(Goes to http://natesilverwrong.com)

"This website is temporarily unavailable, please try again later."

Fukui-sanYesOta November 7, 2012 at 10:03 am

https://twitter.com/NateSilverwrong

"Sorry, that page doesn’t exist!"

Awww, poor conservative gloaters :(

Guppy November 7, 2012 at 10:29 am

Mirror available here.

ChillBill November 7, 2012 at 10:37 am

And here.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:45 am

Fukui's Back! Fukui's Back! Fukui's back!

This is way better than than some overwrought political news.

arihaya November 7, 2012 at 9:34 am

Why did you put a Lincoln-era Civil War map there?

ttommyunger November 7, 2012 at 9:34 am

I am tweeting and telling my Rightard Friends that I'm not gloating. I love our Country as much as they do and we have a long way to go to be the Country we need to be. I also tell them I know how they feel, since I suffered through eight long years with the idiot child Dubya in the White House.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:45 am

I'm telling mine that they got a dose of reality last night that they can choose to ignore and continue to listen to right wing crap. or reflect upon the numerous errors of their ways.

ttommyunger November 7, 2012 at 10:09 am

But that would require insight…..Prolly ain't gonna happen.

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 10:52 am

I probably just got 'unfriended' by a couple of people, due to my measures responses to their histrionics this morning. Oh well, they can go wait for the apocalypse in their Jesus shrines, I'm tired of being pleasant to these people out of some libtard sense of civility.

ttommyunger November 7, 2012 at 10:57 am

I only try to be civil (to most, not all of them) in the (probably vain) hope that only be interacting can I hope to get past the reptilian part of their brain and actually spark rational thought.

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 11:09 am

I hear you! :-)

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:35 pm

that is very gentlemany of you tommy.

i made only one slightly political (foul mouthed) comment on FB last night. i never post on FB, much less post politically.

i save that for the wonks…

ttommyunger November 7, 2012 at 12:59 pm

FB is a labor of love. Why on earth would anyone think I give a fuck what someone else is eating or who they're fucking- and the KIDS! Give me a break!I'm not trying to be gentlemanly, just trying to raise the level of discourse above the grade school playground. Between you andMe: fuggem!Sent from the Field, not in Garrison.

UW8316154 November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

Headline in Seattle: "Vote puts state to the left of the Netherlands on majijuana law"

Isyaignert November 7, 2012 at 10:32 am

Seattle already has a million "coffee shops" maybe they can just add another line of "refreshments" to go with the scones they're already selling. Yes we cannabis – yes we DID!! Me likey!!

SideshowSlob November 7, 2012 at 10:59 am

now they're called "stones"

CogitoErgoBibo November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

And all over America, nerdy geeky numbers guys have a new goal: become Nate Silver's wingman and take the hot, brainy leftovers.

Indiepalin November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

Hey Hannity: Where's your messiah nowwwww?

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 1:36 pm

I was gonna ask Sheer InSannity how his gut felt this morning.

But, ya know, I really don't want to hear the answer. He and Dick Morris and Stuart Smarmy and Off-the-Mark Levin and Karl Rover (who kind of lost it on the FoxPAC last night, which was pretty cool) can go attend their Pity Party.

Indiepalin November 7, 2012 at 4:20 pm

Mark Levin: America's Weasel

Texan_Bulldog November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

So happy this shit is over. My 'check liver' light has been blinking non stop.

Saw that Ann looked teary last night at Mitt's concession speech. She may need a couple new ponies to cheer her up.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 10:01 am

You think Egg looked teary? Did you check out Fake News?….

Guppy November 7, 2012 at 10:30 am

At least she didn't go full Santorum.

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:38 pm

i know the story is that egg – well 'egged' mitt on to the race but i just can't believe she really wanted it. it's so very alien to what her nature appears to be: not social, not political, not empathetic.

hell, our lady michelle didn't want it and she's much more suited to it.

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

Now if only fucking Scalia would retire or get a giant tumor in his dangly bits or fall in a well or something. With votes! Oh wait, he doesn't need votes. . .

Time Out: Um, Editrix? Sorry to bother you this early in the morning, but I have a question. How do we wish harm on those in lifetime appointed positions without breaking the rules?

oenspiek November 7, 2012 at 10:10 am

Try hoping that such people feel the need to retire, to spend more time with their families. Wish them lots and lots of time, with their families. Yeah, that's the ticket.

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 10:15 am

I hope Scalia has tons of time to spend with his grandparents.

weejee November 7, 2012 at 10:22 am

Well done! And with neither arsenic or votes.

Nostrildamus November 7, 2012 at 1:21 pm

Lovely. Bravo!

emmelemm November 7, 2012 at 3:33 pm

Agreed wholeheartedly.

UW8316154 November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

Remember in 2004, when the country roughly split but re-elected an embattled president? And then the side that lost was told, after the election, to "get over it?"

This feels a little like that. Only reversed.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:46 am

This feels a little like that. Only better.

BoroPrimorac November 7, 2012 at 10:19 am

This feels kind of like that except for the 332 to 209 electoral college victory.

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 9:35 am

So, looks like the Tea Party hit it's ceiling, huh? I wonder if they are going to keep running them in Senate seats? If only for our own chances, I hope so, but I really don't know how many more of those type races I can take. It also looks like every once in awhile one of them finds their way into the Senate. I mean, it's a damned shame Deb Fischer beat Bob Kerrey. I saw the debate between the two, and it wasn't even close. It was like watching a slightly-more reserved Sharron Angle debate a slightly-more folksy John Kerry.

BTW, if you'd have told me we'd win a Senate seat in North Dakota and lose one in Nevada, two days ago, I'd have laughed in your face. Weird.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 9:57 am

A visit to Redstate will further schaden your freude. They're saying — predictably — that the reason the Rethuglicans lost was they weren't conservative enough. Actual quote: …how could we possibly be more moderate than we already are?

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 10:14 am

"Akin and Mourdock blew it with career-killing gaffes, not with ideology"

Apparently, actually talking about the republican platform is now considered a gaffe.

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 10:50 am

This is grrreat! Not getting it at all is a perfect way to become less and less consequential as the future ascends….thanks, Redstate!…

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:42 pm

i heard some wingtard freak on bbc saying rove was going to 'come back' from his huge embarrassment last night by resurrecting the baggers based on what will surely be untapped anger at bamz' second term.

looking at the senate (and 2010 senate results) i say: go for it karl.

carlgt1 November 7, 2012 at 1:30 pm

well the Onion has beat them to it: "Shreiking White Hot Sphere of Pure Rage Is Early GOP Front-Runner for 2016" http://www.theonion.com/video/after-obama-victory

emmelemm November 7, 2012 at 3:34 pm

God bless the Onion.

arihaya November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

Those conservative infidel pundits should prostate to Nate Silver (peace be upon him) asking for clemency for their blasphemy.

UW8316154 November 7, 2012 at 9:37 am

But what about Rafalca? Who will think of Rafalca?

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

Glue factory.

FNMA November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

No, on the way to the France to become the new blue meat.

elviouslyqueer November 7, 2012 at 10:16 am

THE OTHER OTHER WHITE MEAT LIBEL.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 10:14 am

Oh, I am thinking of Rafalca.

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:48 pm

Seamus?

vulpes82 November 7, 2012 at 9:38 am

If Nate Silver didn't get laid last night, then there is no justice in this world. Also, I think he should go around to every cable news network and just walk on-set, throw out a "Suck it!" crotchchop, and drop the mic.

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 10:55 am

I am laughing my ass off–thank you for that awesome visual.

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 9:38 am

Slightly loony Democratic ex-congress-critter Bob Filner will be our new mayor* in San Diego. Doug Manchester, the homophobic jackass who bought the sole remaining newspaper to prevent just this eventuality can now go home and masturbate angrily.

All hail Barry, Elizabeth and (saints preserve us) Jerry Brown's Prop 30, in which Californians voted to increase their own taxes to pay for schools'n'shit, reversing the long ugly trend begun by Prop 13.
________
*His opponent was a gay Republican government contractor. Curiouser and curiouser.

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 9:45 am

Nice to hear that Prop 30 news. California is no longer a "Failed State"?

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 9:50 am

During the Chimpy era we were afraid of an invasion.

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

Filner had THE creepiest congressional headshot I've ever seen. Glad you guys got a Democratic mayor, though. San Diego seems pretty swingy.

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 11:11 am

Thank God 30 passed and 32 went down in flames.
Eat me Rove and the Koch brothers!
(You could have built a hospital wing or university or…)

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 11:23 am

And those Mungers, however well-intentioned, who are still members of the über-wealthy class which believes everything must be for sale.

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:49 pm

YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Well done, America's finest city!!!

Shit, now I want to drive down there to see his inauguration.

YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

i_AM_ready November 7, 2012 at 9:39 am

I love how Florida looks like a banana republic, still counting votes (or suppressing them, or whatever) when the rest of the country was finished last night.

Don't bother, Florida, nobody cares.

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 9:44 am

We've got an image to uphold.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:47 am

Country sticks collective tongue out at Rick Scott.

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

People in Florida care because it's an indictment against Governor Skeletor as well as all the ALEC ballot amendments that FAILED.

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 10:01 am

Hear hear!

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 11:12 am

Trejo!!!

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:12 am

What he said.

Ideally, Pink-slip Rick is nervously listening for the sound of tumbrels in the streets as I type…

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 10:35 am

She :)

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:39 am

Aw, my bad, mam. Sorry!

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 10:06 am

I loved how those old white people had to go to bed at midnight and just left off counting, 'cause it would still be a pile of shit there in the morning….

BoroPrimorac November 7, 2012 at 10:24 am

Take it easy on us, we rejected all the crazy abortion and tax related ballot measures which would've made us worse than Mississippi. I guess I'm just happy to see us remain the moderate yet very corrupt state that we've always been.

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:50 pm

or suppressing them, or whatever

I am *so* glad those assholes in Ohio who tried it did not get away with it. Reason enough for the Sunshine State to insist on counting the fucking votes whether they'll determine the outcome or not.

Goonemeritus November 7, 2012 at 9:42 am

Nate silver should never have to buy a drink again. Dick Morris and his brethren should be forced to cleanup highway shoulders as penance for terrifying all the nice Liberals of our country.

Nostrildamus November 7, 2012 at 1:44 pm

I don't think anyone on the left took Morris' predictions seriously. His penance should be for being a festering boil on the great ass of the USA.

HempDogbane November 7, 2012 at 9:44 am

One of the nice things in Minnesota beyond knocking out the marriage and vote suppression amendments hard with the brilliant "Minnesota Nice: Vote No Twice" appeal is that the Republicans who engineered these crap amendments did so to get out the vote. They got their asses handed to them, lost another Congressional seat (briefly held) and turned the legislature back over to the grownups.

Also, scared the pants off One-L.

thatsitfortheother1 November 7, 2012 at 9:52 am

"scared the pants off One-L. "

Please… No…

FNMA November 7, 2012 at 9:52 am

Jesus. by all means, scare the pants back on her. That's not an image I need right now…

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 9:58 am

And how about Miche1e? Did she get dumped?

Fukui-sanYesOta November 7, 2012 at 10:09 am

No, sadly. Scraped through.

HempDogbane November 7, 2012 at 12:43 pm

Setting up her 2014 retirement by defeat, in either a primary or the General election.

Also, Bachmann's mentor Allen Quist took a pounding in his Congressional bid: http://www.bluestemprairie.com/bluestemprairie/20

Come here a minute November 7, 2012 at 9:45 am

Time to start thinking about the second term — Chris Christie for FEMA anybody? Get a Democrat for NJ governor and they can build a goddamn tunnel!

IonaTrailer November 7, 2012 at 10:47 am

I like the Chris Christie/Bill Crist combo.
With the onion rings.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 9:46 am

The only downside is that I hafta go beg for latte and arugula money because I sent all of mine to Obama's campaign. It's going to be a pretty lean month without my sweet elite expresso, but it was worth it.

vulpes82 November 7, 2012 at 10:19 am

Yeah, my credit card bill is a little higher than it should be due to giving to Obama, DSCC, Sandy relief, gay marriage amendment fights, etc. But it was worth it; it helped calm me when I was freaking out .

docterry6973 November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

Ah the schadenfreude. So sweet, so sweet.

UW8316154 November 7, 2012 at 10:20 am

Schadenfreude tastes so sweet in the morning.

viennawoods13 November 7, 2012 at 4:44 pm

Schadenfreude is a dish best served warm.

christianmuslin November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

Nate Silver.
Is that your porn name?
Cool.

Barrelhse November 7, 2012 at 9:49 am

God hates Republicans- amirite?

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:13 am

Well, based on the numbers…

e_z November 7, 2012 at 9:50 am

seanhannity @JedediahBila I agree with Rove. I think huge numbers yet to come hamilton Butler warren Delaware make Ohio VERY close. 10 hours ago · reply · retweet · favorite

LMAO…

ChillBill November 7, 2012 at 9:50 am

The triumph of science and reason over pundit spin and hackery. Thank you, Nate!

trampndirtdown November 7, 2012 at 10:06 am

Over brute force and cynicism. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9P4SxtphJ4

emmelemm November 7, 2012 at 3:36 pm

I *love* that.

viennawoods13 November 7, 2012 at 4:45 pm

Craig rocks.

mrblifil November 7, 2012 at 9:51 am

So wait gay math is still math?

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:14 am

Just prettier and wittier…

sbj1964 November 7, 2012 at 9:54 am

The computer will always be better than Dick Morris's map.Fox News should pull his contract for making them look even dumber than usual.

Ricky Michael November 8, 2012 at 9:16 am

Saying that Dick Morris should be "fired" is like saying, "Is a duck's ass water tight?"

sbj1964 November 8, 2012 at 10:12 am

Big fan RM you should check on Roger,I think he may have hung himself after carving Brooks/Roger was here on a beam in his parents basement.WeeTodd will be decimated.After peeing on Rogers grave.They were such a cute couple.

Ricky Michael November 8, 2012 at 10:25 am

Hahaha, that's my favorite movie. I will check on him. Both of us being writers, we correspond off the ID system through email regularly. I also, know WeeTodd, Eyes_Open and several others too. Whereas, I am a Right Wing Nut Job Conservative Christian, I am at least practical. I get along with just about everyone. I have a few favorites of course, I love to tease Eileen4Freedom and now I have a new girl friend on your side named Susan. Neither one of them enjoys my off the wall sense of humor. Both report me pretty regularly. One of the administrators let me know that even though I was very funny they couldn’t continue to have “Tricky Ricky” on the loose any more. I think it was my “Mini-Me Roger” that did me in. Won’t being doing that again.

sbj1964 November 8, 2012 at 10:35 am

Rogers is a writer? The man is an imbecile! What dose he write ad copy for the local paper?

WTE November 9, 2012 at 10:27 am

Couple? Just because that stuid fuck stalks me does not mean we are a couple. He's a creep. Why will I be decimated?

sbj1964 November 9, 2012 at 11:13 am

It was a joke Wee ,aimed more at Roger,and his obvious man crush on you.Why do you think he stalks you?It's sad, but you are the closes thing he has to a relationship.Creepy,but true.The decimated part? what would you do for entertainment if you did not have that imbecile to make look stupid?What you don't understand is that Conservatards wrap themselves up in hate without it they are nothing.They are blinded by it,and like a snake trying to eat it's tail it will consume them.They are sad,ignorant,racist,sexist,and intolerant of others;that is why they fail.That is why the majority of America rejects they're party,and they're canidate.Red State people in general just are not that smart.The Christian bible,and it's ridiculous violent teachings make them that way.They are lost in this New America,and scared.Hate is the path to the dark side,and they travel to ruin.

Ricky Michael November 10, 2012 at 9:01 am

You should get a giggle out of this string.
http://frontpagemag.com/2012/daniel-flynn/why-rom

sbj1964 November 10, 2012 at 9:51 am

That was entertaining RM.Like I'v said before a big fan of yours as well as Wee,Coggy,Patriothere,cwoof,and others merely trying to comprehend the Coservative mind set that seems to me so vile,and full of hate,racism,sexism,intolerance,and though they claim to be Christians most of the comments from roger,and many others on conservative blogs prove otherwise.With you,and very few others being the exception.To many your people come off as the party of greed,heartlessness,selfishness,and the party of the rich.For the rich,and by the rich.For anyone who seriously follows the teachings of Christ,and I quote"It is easier for a camel to pass through the eye of a needle than for a rich man to enter the kingdom of heaven.",or "what ever you do for the least of thee amongst you;you do unto me."Those are not Republican values.As you may be aware I am not a christian,but those are good words.I choose to live in an America where people care about equality,and do what is right for all people not just the privileged few,or the white/christian ruling class.PS I am white,but when asked what race I am? I answer Human.

Ricky Michael November 10, 2012 at 12:59 pm

I like you sir. And yes those are very good words, that I follow very strictly. I turn no one away, even the Muslims who need something from me.

My economic views align on the conservative side, however, you might find it interesting that I do not wish people to remain poor and dependant on others for their support. My choice is to provide them all jobs and not hand outs. I have been working since I was ten years old. I bought my own first car by mowing lawns. I put myself through college, two degrees, by mowing lawns and working part time as a draftsman/illustrator. I am living proof of what can do done by people who have the desire to make a better life for themselves.

I really am not all that upset with the outcome of the election. I know this, God makes the leaders of men what they are. I might not like it sometimes, but I live with it and accept it.

sbj1964 November 10, 2012 at 10:39 am

Hey RM,did you ever check on Roger,or are you going to wait until the neighbors start to complain about the smell?

Ricky Michael November 10, 2012 at 1:00 pm

Yes, and I have not heard back from him yet. Even WeeTodd is concerned.

sbj1964 November 10, 2012 at 1:18 pm

So let me try to understand you are against personel welfare that helps people yet align yourself with a party that champions corparate welfare with huge tax breaks for companies like Exxon that made $31 billion in profits last year alone?To huge farm sindicates with subsidity money where they get paid not to grow food Like Monsanto? would rather tax the poor,and middle class rather than require GE,and many others corparations to pay they're taxes?This is not what your Jesus would choose.Infact if he came back today with his pro poor,socalist teaching of his past would you deny him because like Democrates he has compasion for poor?

WTE November 12, 2012 at 8:24 am

Well it is getting cold outside. That will keep the smell down

Barrelhse November 7, 2012 at 9:54 am

Today we are all socialist Muslim Kenyans.

YerMa November 7, 2012 at 10:18 am

*Atheist socialist Muslim Kenyan Communists.

ProgressiveInga November 7, 2012 at 10:36 am

Gay blah atheist socialist Muslim Kenyan Communist.

/fixed

GunToting[Redacted] November 7, 2012 at 10:38 am

Atheist muslim radical-christian socialist Kenyan communists.

Loch_Nessosaur November 7, 2012 at 9:55 am

I wonder if this will indicate a return to stressing math and science in schools like it was in the 1960's when I was an itty bitty kid. And that was at a Catholic grade school.

HateMachine November 7, 2012 at 9:55 am

The horrifying truth: http://isnatesilverawitch.com/

Guppy November 7, 2012 at 10:35 am

Where's O'Donnell when you need her?

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:47 pm

that's delightful

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 12:52 pm

Love it!

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 9:56 am

I'm already tired of the narrative. The Beltway narrative is that since the GOP kept the House, that this means the president should come around and do another Simpons-Bowles-esque austerity measure. You know, 'cause "bipartisanship."

Puh-leeze. I hope to see him put his boot up Congress' ass. It's time to steamroll those intransigent bastards. He needs to remind him that his head is going on Rushmore, and they can either get a piece of being a part of the history that is his two-term administration, or that we will obliterate them in the 2014-midterms.

The sheriff is near…and he's back in town.

HouseOfTheBlueLights November 7, 2012 at 10:08 am

We're going to obliterate them in the midterms anyway.

Negropolis November 7, 2012 at 10:10 am

**Shhhh** If we say that out loud, then we can't threaten them with it.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:12 am

We've got to get back to the War on Coal.

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 10:27 am

We tried the bipartisanship thing, and the wingtards were all "Obama's not fixing anything," and that cost him votes.

Steamroller time.

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:51 pm

i think that's what he was saying last night – without being all bush assholey 'i won political capitol'.

BlueStateLibel November 7, 2012 at 10:39 am

No more bi-partisanship. Those losers had their chance and acted like dicks every step of the way. Bronco's got nothing to lose now.

Zango Crudmonger November 7, 2012 at 12:28 pm

Nate Silver as Gene Wilder, I'd hope.

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 9:57 am

Math and solid methodology won out over froth based science? Whoda thunk it?

Nostrildamus November 7, 2012 at 1:47 pm

Next thing you know, breweries will be hiring microbiologists!

Terry November 7, 2012 at 9:57 am

Just noticed another tidbit: Mia Love, the black female teabagger republican running in Utah, has lost her race to the democratic incumbent, Matheson.

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 9:59 am

At my election party, I was the calm and collected one, while everyone else had panic attacks ("Romney's leading 13 to Obam's 2 EVs!!!, OMFG!!") . I had Nate's big board on my mac book. As the numbers came in, they just jived with expected and tossup predictions. Stay thirsty my friends.

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 11:23 am

Me too. Thanks, Nate.
Except no party.
Just me and a Manhattan.
I knew Barry had this, but was more interested to see what would happen with my girl, Elizabeth Warren and my secret crush, Sherrod Brown.
(What a bonus to see that idiot, Allen West lose!)

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 1:26 pm

Oh I was so happy to see the squared headed West get booted out.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 10:00 am

In the battle of the nerd math, Nate Silver brought the hammer down on Karl Rove's "math."

Mumbletypeg November 7, 2012 at 10:00 am

The same people who want to vilify craftsmen of statistical logic-driven indicators like Silver are the ones who cry Foul and react with the same when confronted with Reality.
My point is I'm flummoxed by the consistent denial exhibited by more than a few friends IRL who resolutely push aside any of the evidence-supported assertions made by stats wiz's like Nate — or, similarly: the rate of accuracy these perps eagerly hold in contempt for, you guessed it, our local meteorologists on the teevee.

THe right-tard in particular I'm thinking of never wastes an opportunity to call out our weather reporters, whenever a forecast goes slightly (or caught-by-surprisingly) off-track as the day/ evening's elements manifest themselves. People like this take it *personally* that the art of prediction doesn't conform precisely in outcome to the projections by some top-notch analysts who are nonetheless offering an assessment, not a foregone conclusion. I've spent enough time in social circles hearing these and other creeps scapegoating practicers of this niche science to not be overall surprised at those waxing skeptical at Silver.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:15 am

(Hugs Mumbletypeg)

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 11:00 am

Group hug!

TootsStansbury November 7, 2012 at 10:27 am

I work with people like that. Drives me nuts "it's going to rain at 3:30". I tell them to stop doing that to no avail. Then they bust on the forecasters when it doesn't in fact, rain at precisely 3:30. But then I am kind of a nerd.

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 10:01 am

I'm watching Sully on Colbert from last night: "There's a black man in power and he's got nothing to lose."

DahBoner November 7, 2012 at 10:05 am

"Cut 'im"

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:17 am

Some of them are starting to sound like bit-players from "Blazing Saddles"…

mbatch November 7, 2012 at 10:01 am

Is there any hope–any hope at all–that the neocons will finally face reality and try getting something done for a change? We've still got that whole "fiscal cliff" thing coming up (and before Joe Walsh goes home, too).

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:19 am

The 'wingers started ignoring reality some time back. The moderates *may* see the hand-writing on the wall and *may* come around. Ideally, they'll regain control of the GOP…

Toomush_Infer November 7, 2012 at 10:03 am

God, I depended daily, sometimes twice daily on Nate over the last six months – he was the only one keeping me from feeling the Wonkette World had become Fort Alamo…..

trampndirtdown November 7, 2012 at 10:08 am

True dat.

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 1:01 pm

Twice? I admire your restraint–I got to double digits in the last week of the election. I hope Nate gets a nice vacation in, and a huge bonus check as well…

DahBoner November 7, 2012 at 10:04 am

"Math class is tough!" – 1991 Barbie

HouseOfTheBlueLights November 7, 2012 at 10:05 am

Thank god, now Nate can get back to his real job of predicting the World Series.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:15 am

Giants Win! Giants Win! Giants Win!

Lot_49 November 7, 2012 at 10:06 am

Now can we jump off the Fiscal Cliff® so the Bush tax cuts can die their well-deserved death, defense spending is slashed, and government revenues roll in?

ChrisM2011 November 7, 2012 at 10:07 am

The liberals got together and we decided we going to go for "2,000 Years of Darkness".

mavenmaven November 7, 2012 at 10:10 am

On the other hand, if only computers and machines would have voted, Romney might have won.

OneYieldRegular November 7, 2012 at 10:11 am

Could one of you be kind enough to bring me a bottle of aspirin and an American flag?

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:20 am

Feeling a bit fragile this morning? I hear ya…

Andrew Drinker November 7, 2012 at 10:12 am

NATE SILVER IS A PIMP

DCBloom November 7, 2012 at 10:46 am

Word

UnholyMoses November 7, 2012 at 10:13 am

I, for one, welcome our new polling overlords.

Oblios_Cap November 7, 2012 at 10:16 am

Some jackass just said "welcome to the USSA" to me. They're taking it so well.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:23 am

Well, grace and good sportsmanship have always been their calling cards.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHA! (Sorry, after last night, I can't help it)

weejee November 7, 2012 at 10:42 am

Provide a cool smile in return. Remember the dish is best served cold.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:49 am

Oh yes weej, that is ttommy's old advise. It infuriates them even more.

FlipFlopFuck November 7, 2012 at 10:50 am

The douchebag on RW radio here, Chris Plant, is playing Soviet Marches…
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 12:57 pm

i hope you responded "this is so comrade, the gulag for incorrect thinking is open and you are the first to be purged."

Baconzgood November 7, 2012 at 10:17 am

this is bad news for Mentat Piter DeBrees.

vulpes82 November 7, 2012 at 10:24 am

THE SPICE MUST FLOW!!!! NATE SILVER IS THE KWISATZ HADERACH!!!!!!11!1!!11!!!1

memzilla November 7, 2012 at 10:35 am

Also Baron Harkonnen.

MosesInvests November 7, 2012 at 10:38 am

Thufir Hawat FTW!

Guppy November 7, 2012 at 10:40 am

It is by Nate alone I set my mind in motion…

DCBloom November 7, 2012 at 10:47 am

Maud dib!

Spurning Beer November 7, 2012 at 10:18 am

Rhode "Little Rhody" Island is sending an Italian Jewish gay man to Congress. That's the Democratic version of hybrid vigor.

Incitefully_Joe November 7, 2012 at 10:19 am

In advance of the election return, there was a reassuring facebook circulating the facebooks, from a former member of Nate's old baseball sabermetrics league. The guy said that he ended up ragequitting said league, because Nate was SO GOOD at it and so obsessed with getting the numbers right that it stopped being stopped being fun to always get beaten by Nate Silver.

I only hope that our political pundits will take heed, and follow that guy's lead.

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 10:22 am

Just for fun: Front pages across the country:
http://www.newseum.org/todaysfrontpages/default.a

Callyson November 7, 2012 at 1:03 pm

So far, my favorite headline is from the Oakland (Ca.) Tribune:

OBAMA ROLLS

Oh yeah!

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 10:24 am

So, does this mean the Mayans were right?

Nostrildamus November 7, 2012 at 1:50 pm

The Mayans are dead.
The Right is dead.
Therefore, the Mayans are right.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:25 am

Bamz, you've been handed a clear mandate. Now, *USE* it, dammit!!!

BigSkullF*ckingDog November 7, 2012 at 10:34 am

According to Boehner, the republican house is the one with the mandate. Or did he say man date?

Isyaignert November 7, 2012 at 10:28 am

No lie – I was dreaming about cannabis being legal in Washington state, where I live, when I suddenly woke up and looked at the clock – it was 4:20!

DCBloom November 7, 2012 at 10:48 am

So, did you celebrate Colorado style?

IonaTrailer November 7, 2012 at 10:59 am

Here's hoping the Bams will lay off the DEA

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 11:33 am

My youngest was born on 4/20/90.
She always gets a lot of "heh-heh, what a cool birthday" comments.

ednamillion22 November 7, 2012 at 10:32 am

Clear eyes, full hearts, WE WON.

Bitches.

Spurning Beer November 7, 2012 at 10:33 am

Yesterday my wife got a call from the county Democratic Party to give a ride to the polls to a voter. It turned out to be an 84-year old woman — a white one! — who had never voted before.

This morning, Florida is still waiting to fulfill Nate Silver's prophesy. Our county, though, went 75% for Romney. The fifty-point margin was one vote smaller than it would have been, though. Thanks, honey.

MosesInvests November 7, 2012 at 10:40 am

My gay, Deaf, 50 year old friend voted for the first time in her life yesterday.

emmelemm November 7, 2012 at 3:40 pm

Thank you, thank your wife. Profusely. There really is no such thing as "my vote doesn't matter", even if you are in the reddest/bluest area there is.

Redgyal November 7, 2012 at 10:36 am

The talk in the office is that Barry spent too much money on campaigning when we have massive debt…..because Mittens didn't spend a dime.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:40 am

Dang. They ARE grasping at straws…

TootsStansbury November 7, 2012 at 10:48 am

Derp?

BlueStateLibel November 7, 2012 at 10:36 am

Need to get Nate Silver to go the track with me. I'll spring for the beer.

flipdraw November 7, 2012 at 10:37 am

Marry me Nate Silver!

BoroPrimorac November 7, 2012 at 10:38 am

Conservative women are pissed that the war on women stuff worked. Why did you have to vote with your pussies, ladies?

starfanglednut November 7, 2012 at 12:04 pm

It wasn't easy holding the pen with my labia, I tells ya..

Spurning Beer November 7, 2012 at 10:40 am

I just went to the Florida site to see if anything was moving with the numbers, and found something surprising: the statewide turnout was 70%, and a couple of counties broke 80%! Those are almost Soviet-bloc numbers.

BadKitty904 November 7, 2012 at 10:50 am

It truly was a MUCH greater voter-turnout than expected. The unexpected volume is one thing that's slowing up the count…

DCBloom November 7, 2012 at 10:50 am

My kids live down there. I've been up their ass for weeks to vote. I'm so proud.

IonaTrailer November 7, 2012 at 10:46 am

It's a great day in Amurica! Where being a geek can be hawt!

MinAgain November 7, 2012 at 10:48 am

I, for one, welcome our new mathematical overlord.

Wadisay November 7, 2012 at 10:51 am

If I were Nate Silver, I would think about selling my endorsement of stuff. I would start with drill bits, plum lines and laser beams.

rickmaci November 7, 2012 at 10:51 am

Politics is not that hard. Arithmetic baby, arithmetic.

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 1:32 pm

Either Nate Silver or Arithmetic should be Time person of year.

vawhitemale November 7, 2012 at 10:52 am

Oh ye bitters always denying facts things that actually happened. why do you hate math and the truth so much?

Spurning Beer November 7, 2012 at 10:52 am

Oh Jesus. I just saw that Roy Moore got elected again to his old job as Chief Justice of the Alabama Supreme Court. There's no telling how many commandments he'll have this time.

HELisforHEL November 7, 2012 at 11:06 am

Happily, Linda McMahon lost resoundingly, yay liebral Connecticut. I may hate most of the down county corporate turds who live here, hate the traffic, hate the cost of living…but at least we're not overrun with the stupidz.

DemmeFatale November 7, 2012 at 11:38 am

I am very pleased with this result!
(Even though I got a lecture from my P.C. daughter when I called Linda a bitch.)

vulpes82 November 7, 2012 at 11:50 am

$100 Million dollars and two failed campaigns later, one wonders if Linda will take the damn hint. Why not run for Mayor of Stamford or something, if she really wants to be in politics?

ChrisM2011 November 7, 2012 at 11:06 am

Has Ron Paul pulled out the surprise win yet?

viennawoods13 November 7, 2012 at 5:05 pm

No, and neither has Lou Sarah!

Beach_Bubba_Tex November 7, 2012 at 11:15 am

What's Nate's take on Justice Scalia's cholesterol count?

Chet Kincaid_ November 7, 2012 at 12:09 pm

He would have to aggregate all pompous, high-self-regarding blowhards on a Mediterranean diet to give you a prognostication.

CommieDad November 7, 2012 at 11:25 am

I enjoy Nate's reviews of Polls. I also like the take the PEC does. With both those things in mind, I think we are way to obsessed with the polls. I think we should leave poll analysis to the Nate Silvers of the world, and leave issue analysis to passionate people on both sides. These passionate people would replace partisan hacks, also known as pun dents.

Shorter: If republicans spent their media energy talking about issues in an honest way, they might have only lost a little.

Aridzona November 7, 2012 at 11:26 am

At least we still have Michele Bachmann.

vulpes82 November 7, 2012 at 11:52 am

Well, at least she only juuuuuuuuuuuuust squeaked by. That'll put the fear of God in her. Next time she might not be so lucky! I bet Marcus is still lightheaded.

hagajim November 7, 2012 at 12:11 pm

That fucking Nate Silver….who does he think he is after all…..Actually Nate, we all love ya. Helped us keep the faith – now don't let it go to your head.

Mittaplasia November 7, 2012 at 12:16 pm

Listen up, fellow cheaters! Fox News still wants you to report on any voter fraud thingies that you might know about or that you might have done. Report these wrongdoings to http://www.suckonitlosers.com

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 1:31 pm

Do they have a hotline? I'll call Megyn Kelly on my free Obama phone.

Simple J Malarkey November 7, 2012 at 12:19 pm

OT Rough commute this morning. All the white guys in Rams and Tahoes were driving like fucking maniacs.

Preacher_Griz November 7, 2012 at 12:36 pm

with all this foreseeing and whatnot this Silver fellow is playing a Demon's game….the origins of which are rooted in the dark spirituals of atheism and devil worships…

fuflans November 7, 2012 at 1:00 pm

did you see this gem that somebody here posted (or possibly created):
http://isnatesilverawitch.com/

genius

Ducksworthy November 7, 2012 at 1:15 pm

Congratulations Nate for retrieving the signal from all that noise.

Lazy Media November 7, 2012 at 1:29 pm

Here's what I posted about two years ago. I am no Nate Silver, but I did call the R primary and the prez election in advance.

"Forget it, Mittens is already your 2012 nominee. It's his turn, and none of these other guys have a national organization (teabaggers are the lack of an organization). Dubya's run was set up WAY earlier than two years out.

Obama over Mittens, 52-48, and the Dems take the House back."

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 1:29 pm

Oh . my .god. Nate Silver is a Time Lord.

carlgt1 November 7, 2012 at 1:31 pm

Let's do the Time Lord again! (it's just a poll to the left….)

ElPinche November 7, 2012 at 1:35 pm

Does that mean we can now exclude Ramussen and their random number generators from all poll analytics forward on?

Tundra Grifter November 7, 2012 at 1:36 pm

I'm glad Nate Silver uses his mystical and awesum powers for Good and not for Evil.

rocktonsam November 7, 2012 at 1:51 pm

is $arah Palin eating again now?

LibertyLover November 7, 2012 at 1:57 pm

Only her children, I think. Some animals do, you know.

rebelyankee November 7, 2012 at 5:37 pm

I can't even raise any snark about it, this is how much I love Nate Silver. REAL Math versus "the math" won unequivocally, with no bias (except that pesky liberal bias in all the polls).

smellyal8tr November 7, 2012 at 7:56 pm

Nigh on four years ago, Wonkette steered me to Nate Silver and I've been a devoted follower ever since. Repubtards don't like him because he uses "math" which is a "science" and is not something that is first dreamed by a "wizard". Instead, Repubtards call him "fag" and "gey". Good for Nate Silver and all his recognition. His computer model must be awesome and I'm sure his mom wonders what he does in his room all day…

Veritas78 November 7, 2012 at 9:02 pm

How's this for attitude? Nate took the day off, leaving his last predictions just laying on the page, like a giant turd in the republican punch bowl.

"You like polls? How 'bout THEM polls! I got the number." *
* Obscure Good Will Hunting reference, starring two hunky Dems.

WIDTAP November 7, 2012 at 9:27 pm

So Asimov was right about psycohistory all along.

Cognitive Dissident November 8, 2012 at 2:41 pm

fascinating… but, please, how so?

urganda November 9, 2012 at 6:00 pm

Chuck Hegel is a respectable Republican, a brave man who stood up to Bush Jr., and I would have voted for Hegel.

actor212 November 7, 2012 at 10:31 am

Give or take a Brazilian

Zango Crudmonger November 7, 2012 at 11:14 am

I believe we won.

hagajim November 7, 2012 at 12:01 pm

Good thing I can drive to Washington now to get my doob on.

Ricky Michael November 8, 2012 at 10:45 am

Yes, he does young adults books. Right now he is working real hard on one. The arch villian WeeTodd is really busy at work and will be missing in action for a little while, just like Rog. I suspect both the resume the battle very soon. I stay out of it mostly, unless WTE says something totally wrong, then I straighten him out.

I am working on a modern western humor book called "Bull Rider" under this current Nume de Plume, Ricky Michael.

sbj1964 November 8, 2012 at 10:48 am

Funny I always thought Roger wrote Gay porn snuff scripts.Good luck with your book hope to see it on the NYT best sellers list.I'll buy it in paperback of course.

Ricky Michael November 8, 2012 at 10:57 am

Hahaha, no. Barnes and Noble sent me a request to do a real book review for his work. Nearly all the reviews were from ID people who do not like him. I actually read the book and did a real review. You can tell which one was mine.

People may not like him and his tactics, but fair is fair, at least read the work before posting trash. It was not all that bad for a first time writer. His ability with pros dwarfs mine. I am serverely dyslexic and I deal with special things that he does not.

Ricky Michael November 8, 2012 at 11:35 am
WTE November 9, 2012 at 10:24 am

He does and he sucks at that to

WTE November 9, 2012 at 10:24 am

How do you know they did not read that trash?

Ricky Michael November 9, 2012 at 11:30 am

Alright Todd, have you purchased and read his book?

WTE November 9, 2012 at 11:34 am

Ok, I apologize I read the comment the wrong way. Actually if he was gone I would be able to enage in a good discussion. He is good for comic relief and it is fun to make his blood boil. I love pointing out how he fails as a chirstian.

On a side note congrats on Obama getting another term. Not what I wanted to see not that I am a D or R I just wanted someone else to get a shot and that someone else I did not care for either. Anyways as a country we need to stop the fighting and band together as a country and fix OUR nation. Both sides fighting each other over which way is up has only brought us further down the rabbit hole

WTE November 9, 2012 at 11:38 am

I did not purchase it. As I have said before the local library was throwing out copies of his trash and I grabbed one and read it. IT SUCKED. It was way too predictable and boring

Ricky Michael November 9, 2012 at 11:43 am

Ok, since you really did read it, then you earn the right to your negative opinion. You are not the target audience age group for which it was written either. That makes a difference.

sbj1964 November 9, 2012 at 11:46 am

So why do you waist your time trying to educate Conservatards?They are hopeless,and never happier than when they have something,or someone to hate.Hate has made them strong with the dark side.There is no redemption for them they are becoming less relevant with each passing day.They offer nothing but a return to a past that was corrupt,and intolerant.They will become fossils on display in a history museum right next to Neanderthals.Good riddance in my book.When a group of sub-humans fails to adapt to changing environmental conditions extinction is imminent.

WTE November 9, 2012 at 12:13 pm

You have to remember even though you call them "sub-humans" they are still your American brothers. I don't agree with everything they do and I don't agree with everything liberals do. Matter of fact the only thing I can side with Liberals is with their stance on drugs, religions, and the environment.

WTE November 9, 2012 at 12:20 pm

Gibberish is all it was. He talks about hating predictability then why is his book so predictable?

sbj1964 November 9, 2012 at 12:24 pm

The sub-human crack was referring to the fact that they act like creatures of hate,an undesirable aspect of modern Republican culture.If they want to be considered my American brothers as you put it,then they should start acting like it; instead of a bunch of Monkeys slinging shit at each other,and everyone else.They use to be the party of fiscal responsibility,and defense before the right wing christian Fun-Dah-mentalist American Taliban hijacked the party.

Ricky Michael November 9, 2012 at 2:58 pm

I like everybody. I'm not worried one bit about anything.

Signed
Rightwingconservativechristianbiblethumpinglibertarian
Ricky MIchael

sbj1964 November 9, 2012 at 3:18 pm

Yes RM I have read your past comments,and know where you stand on that topic.But as long as the Christian right controls the party there is no room for the now extinct Moderate republican.The separation clause is a good idea for everyone.And your parties radical religious agenda is killing the traditional message of the once respectable GOP.But if you guys want to double down on stupid it should make for an easy win for HILLARY CLINTON 2016 ! She is probably writing her acceptance speech now knowing the GOP could not even score an easy win.

Ricky Michael November 9, 2012 at 3:30 pm

"Christian Right" just a name to call someone.

There are two distinct type types of religious people who are generally lumped all together and called Christians. There are the ones who “say” they are with lips service only and the ones who live it. I try my best to be in the second group, they are the real Christians. I find that those in the first group have hypocrisy as their battle cry. I want no part of that.

Additionally, my religious beliefs have nothing to do with my political views. They never have. I am an exception perhaps.

Ricky Michael November 10, 2012 at 2:10 pm

Whose image is on a denarius, Caesar? Render unto Caesar what is Caesar’s. I am not against paying taxes. The problem is that if you believe that taxing the rich, corps included, will solve all our problems then you are doomed to be disappointed. We are now in such sorry shape that even if we just took not only their tax money but all their possessions away too, it would not even scratch the surface of our debt. Additionally, if you believe that the current leadership will leave the little guys like you and I out of the tax increases, you will be disappointed there as well. The tax man cometh, and right quickly.
The answer to the problem is never going to be taxes. It is in promoting the very people you hate, the rich corporations who give jobs and pay checks out. Without them, we die as a nation.
I will change my political allegiance to the liberal side as soon as they begin to promote business and their prosperity. We have to grow our way out. It is a fact that no one has ever taxed themselves into prosperity. This is the truth.

sbj1964 November 10, 2012 at 2:25 pm

And yet still nearly every time there is a democrat in the white house,and a competent congress the economy by every study ever made, is better than that under the Republican parties leadership.It would seem your logic fails under the light of reality.Jesus was a liberal your God claims he likes liberals,and that he will make them fat.(A blessing by Yahweh's standard's)Republicans are bad for America.They are the party of ENRON less government oversight ring a bell?Yes with GOP policies a few people get mega rich,and when the shit hits the fan the American public gets stuck with the bill.The GOP quick personal wealth trumps the public good?Their policies have brought ruin,and disaster in the past.

Ricky Michael November 10, 2012 at 2:59 pm

Here is something that might interest you; the early Christians in the book of Acts lived like Communists. They had all things in common and each was given according as he had need. There are many things the liberal side does that I agree with, but the problem solving comes through strong businesses. Reagan was right. We did well under his leadership. No one in recent history has out done him.
In my Church, no one is over looked. I am a member of the Church of Christ. We help our own and those outside the church too as much as we can. I will have given right around 30% of my take home pay for benevolence this year. Just curious, how much have you given to the poor and those in need this year?
Your preaching at me doesn’t seem to fit does it? I suggest you examine yourself before you attempt to take the itty bitty spec out of my eye.

All with respect of course. Maybe you have given more than 30%, you tell me.

sbj1964 November 11, 2012 at 8:08 am

30% impressive.Even your god only requires 10% sir you are a philanthropist.But as I have said you are an exception to the rule.I myself give nothing to religious institutions for fear that they would use the money to proselytize,and little to aid organizations that promote faith of any kind in their mission other than the Red Cross.You seem like a decent person,yet I still do not understand why you don't understand the Stan Lee Quote from Marvel comics Spiderman"With great power comes great responsibility." Money is power.And what is so wrong about asking those who have benefited the most from America from stepping up to the plate like many rich people are willing to do with the exception of the GOP Grover Norquist pledging puppets of the radical right.The GOP needs to move to the center,ditch the ridiculous christian social issues like abortion,gay rights,and raping the environment.Time to Toss the Cross,and return to governing the people.When it comes down to radical religion the GOP makes the PLO look like one's local PTA.

Ricky Michael November 11, 2012 at 12:21 pm

Yes, I agree, I am an exception to the rule. It matters to me, how I act. I do my best to live like the NT Christians did in the first century. My ideal world would be that everyone who can work does so and no government aid is necessary for anyone. We will be fine, it’s time to work together now. Also, our military boys need to be brought home.

I have heard from Roger, he is fine.

sbj1964 November 11, 2012 at 12:53 pm

Rogers OK? Well despite that I will try to have a good Sunday.Thanks RM,I may never be able to understand the conservative brain,and where the vile contempt they have for people who choose an America where we are all in this together,and we are our Brothers keeper.Your insight has been helpful,and I have enjoyed getting to know a you better.Keep Wee & Roger in line,as you do,and call them on stupid. Semper Paratus fidelis enduro.

WTE November 12, 2012 at 8:27 am

I never been able to understand the conservative or liberal brain. Good joke please don't take offense:
http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/jokes/blj

sbj1964 November 12, 2012 at 8:59 am

Well at least liberals evolved,unlike conservatives who are still a bunch of harry apes sitting around a camp fire,worshiping magical bronze age gods,slinging shit at each other ,and every one else.While comparing who's ass is the brightest shade of red.That's how they pick their leaders.

WTE November 12, 2012 at 9:16 am

HAHAHAHAHA.

Good one.

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