• May 26, 2012
STUCCO APOCALYPSE

March 16, 2011

Building Permits For New Housing Drop To 51-Year-Low

by Ken Layne  

The last time so few new permits were issued for housing construction, it was 1961 — when American economists first began keeping records of the numbers of housing permits as an economic indicator.

There are millions of unwanted, unsold and unfinished new housing units in this country. Who would buy these things, right? There are also many millions of vacant, foreclosed houses held in “shadow inventory” by the mortgage industry. Also, there are millions of “existing homes” for sale, and millions of houses and condos left vacant because no-one wants to try to sell them, in this market. It’s a good thing the American economy isn’t completely dependent on construction, housing and lending!

Reuters:

Housing starts posted their biggest decline in 27 years in February while building permits dropped to their lowest level on record, suggesting the beleaguered real estate sector has yet to rebound from its deepest slump in modern history.

CBC, laughing at America’s troubles:

Builders also cut their applications for permits to start new projects to a five-decade low.

The decline in construction activity is the latest evidence that the U.S. housing industry is years away from a recovery.

Building permits, an indicator of future construction, fell 8.1 per cent last month to the lowest level on records dating back to 1960. Permit requests for single-family homes saw the biggest decline. Apartments and condos remained flat.

{ 55 comments }

Jim89048 March 16, 2011 at 2:20 pm

Even worse, since nobody's buying new appliances, there's also a dearth of available refrigerator boxes.

natoslug March 16, 2011 at 2:40 pm

Just wait — if I can get the plans approved and finally begin construction in this damned Coastal Zone, I'll have a refrigerator box available for someone. I'll even throw in wifi if you at least consider buying my old house in Idaho. Please don't let me get laid off until I get the new house built . . .

Redhead March 16, 2011 at 2:21 pm

That's because you don't need a permit to drag a cardboard box under a bridge.

BaldarTFlagass March 16, 2011 at 2:32 pm

Or to move back in with your parents.

SorosBot March 16, 2011 at 2:56 pm

Well my van down by the river is a palace compared to your box.

Redhead March 16, 2011 at 4:18 pm

librul eleetist. I bet it's a VOLVO van too. I mean, two.

BaldarTFlagass March 16, 2011 at 2:22 pm

Even Jesus Christ the Carpenter would probably be on the unemployment these days.

harry_palmer March 16, 2011 at 2:41 pm

He must have sucked at it. There isn't one report in the gospels of a customer being happy with his work.

Zvi_Bleindmeis March 16, 2011 at 3:47 pm

His safety record was bad, too. I seem to remember a Gospel report about somebody getting a beam in the eye.

Mumbletypeg March 16, 2011 at 2:22 pm

"Been Down So Long it Looks Like Up to Me."
It used to be a country song title. Now it's an anthem for the underwater mortgage / buyer-shortage generation.

EDIT: that's no country song, it's a title of a 1966 novel. Apologies to Richard Farina, author. For some reason that had stuck in my head all these years as something listened to once upon a time many vintage-radio-stations ago.

freakishlywrong March 16, 2011 at 2:33 pm

It's a great title to a song however. Get to writing it Mumblety, it could be your ticket out of Hooverville.

SorosBot March 16, 2011 at 2:42 pm

It's a Doors (not county) song, based on the dates Morrison probably got the title from the novel.

freakishlywrong March 16, 2011 at 2:23 pm

Unpaid interns simply can't afford the permit..

nounverb911 March 16, 2011 at 2:30 pm

Not to be a contrarian, but isn't hard to dig a foundation when they are constantly being filled in by blizzards?

Ken Layne March 16, 2011 at 3:02 pm

Where you live, son?

CalamityJames March 16, 2011 at 10:55 pm

I believe what the boy was trying to impart was that Dairy Queen is dumping toxic Blizzard (oreo, butterfinger, and m&m varieties) makings into our homes, therefore, by deductive reasoning, I would confidently state that he lives in the Real 'Murika.

Or I'm just high and pouting over my lack of an oreo Blizzard.

SorosBot March 16, 2011 at 2:33 pm

The housing market has dropped to where it should have been, without the bubble; sadly a lot of the so-called financial experts want to reinflate that bubble rather than adjust to a stable economy that's not based on a series market bubbles, and a lot of people are unwilling to sell houses at their real values rather the old, artificially inflated prices.

ManchuCandidate March 16, 2011 at 2:35 pm

In a lot of cases they can't because they bought them at old artificially inflated prices.

It is the "It's still good… it's still good" principle. I suffered that first hand in the tech boom.

Negropolis March 16, 2011 at 2:35 pm

Finally, it ends…at least for now. There was an article out, last night, that shows that Nevade has something like nearly 200,000 empty homes, now. But, still managed to building 70,000+ last year, becase "people like new homes" as the article states. We are so fucking wasteful.

OC_Iodide_Surf_Serf March 16, 2011 at 2:37 pm

There are subdivisions in the Inland Empire here in Southern California that are basically landscaped landfills

ManchuCandidate March 16, 2011 at 2:53 pm

Yes, I saw them. Having spent some time in the Inland Empire, I have to ask… Why?

Ken Layne March 16, 2011 at 3:03 pm

Because people with jobs in LA and OC thought they needed to own a home (and wanted a "safe neighborhood" for their kids), and the only affordable homes were stucco stockyards an hour's drive from the jobs, out in the dirt-farm smog hills past San Bernardino, where land was cheap and speculation the only thing that grew.

ManchuCandidate March 16, 2011 at 3:08 pm

There's not a lot to do out there… I was there for three days and I was bored after one. I'd rather live in LA (in "undesirable" neighborhoods) than deal with that nothing and dirt and fat white olds.

imissopus March 16, 2011 at 3:20 pm

speculation the only thing that grew.

Now, now. San Berdoo is also a hotbed for biker gangs and meth. So many people moved out to the Inland Empire over the last 10 – 15 years that's it's now a lot less safe than it used to be. And the occasional gunfire / meth-lab explosion might make it less boring.

Jim89048 March 16, 2011 at 2:56 pm

I don't know how accurate they are, but network affiliate news out of Las Vegas claim that 75% of all mortgages in Nevada are underwater. I do know that in my own neighborhood, there are more than a few houses that have been foreclosed on, resold, and foreclosed on more than a couple of times. It ain't pretty. And this is not an expensive community to live in, either.

Lionel[redacted]Esq March 16, 2011 at 2:37 pm

I have an idea. Let's let in a whole bunch of immigrants, lets say from a near by neighbor like Mexico. They would come in, do lower paying jobs, and the increase in population would increase the need for housing. Plus there would be people around who could take care of the gardens and clean the insides of the bigger houses owned by the rich.

The only downside is that all of these immigrants might want rights, or might produce anchor babies like Michelle Malkin. But, overall, it would seem to be a win/win situation.

Jim89048 March 16, 2011 at 2:43 pm

If an earlier article from this morning is any indicator, they should be willing to fill these jerbs as unpaid interns.

hagajim March 16, 2011 at 2:59 pm

Maybe we could take in a bunch of Japanese who are afraid of dying an atomic death…they are smart and probably wouldn't drag wages down too much….oh what wages.

One_who_wanders March 16, 2011 at 5:26 pm

Not only that if we get younger immigrants they'll help support Social Security for another 30 or 40 years. I think we have a platform.

WriteyWriterton March 16, 2011 at 11:24 pm

It's crazy, but it just might work… Or blow the f*^k up in our faces, but no biggie, amirite?

natoslug March 16, 2011 at 2:41 pm

There's still air and water. Give them their fair shot at those as well.

Tommmcatt March 16, 2011 at 3:42 pm

Have you seen the Gulf of Mexico lately?

FlownOver March 16, 2011 at 4:01 pm

Or L.A.?

Come here a minute March 16, 2011 at 2:42 pm

If you're looking for a place to post your "house for sale" ad, may I suggest tokyo.craigslist.jp?

Oblios_Cap March 16, 2011 at 2:42 pm

It’s a good thing the American economy isn’t completely dependent on construction, housing and lending!

Oh, wait! It's not?

harry_palmer March 16, 2011 at 2:45 pm

If we cut taxes on the top earners and give a trillion or so to the banks, this will all sort itself out.

GuyClinch March 16, 2011 at 2:50 pm

Hey, if it wasn't for all those vacant houses, where would we steal copper from? Didn't think about that, didja?

MinAgain March 16, 2011 at 2:53 pm

If you build it, he will kiss your feet and mow your lawn for a year. Okay, two years.

DownFist Troll March 16, 2011 at 3:04 pm

Economic disasters and human misery is how RealAmerica™ fights socialism.

BlueStateLibel March 16, 2011 at 3:35 pm

The cute-kitten video industry remains robust though, as does the Republican Sex Crime industry.

Tommmcatt March 16, 2011 at 3:50 pm

On the other hand, as home buyers my husband and I are enjoying considerable Realtor perks like free brunches and strawberries with champagne whenever we go visit a prospective property. Plus, interest rates are so low I'm almost embarrassed to borrow the money at that rate. So you all can go to hell, I guess. After all, I've got mine, right?

Sorry about that last bit. I'm visiting my christofacist aunt and uncle pretty soon so I have to practice my teabagalog so I can stay out of screaming matches.

Fred_Wertham_Jr March 16, 2011 at 9:45 pm

Do you have to prove you have money? Free food and drinks sounds pretty good.

Steverino247 March 16, 2011 at 4:29 pm

My wife and I recently looked into buying a foreclosed home near our kids and could not believe how fucked up the places were. The previous "occupants" (because nobody really owns these places) of the two houses we viewed had completely stripped the places of carpeting, electrical fixtures, etc. The banks which own (now and forever) the places just brought in some workers to slap some white paint on the walls and install white carpet in a vain effort to spoof my tape measure on actual room sizes. As my wife chased off some former occupants, now looters, she got the straight poop about what was wrong with the place (all three bathrooms has severe water damage, etc.). Wells Fargo wanted 239K for a place that needed at least 60K in work to make it suitable for living in again. Yeah, right.

102415 March 16, 2011 at 9:02 pm

Offer them 50 firm and it's yours! Okay start, with 48,000 first.Bathrooms are not that big a deal just rip it all out some weekend and start from the beginning. And get rid of the cheap carpet after you are done. It's filled with sad and nasty dust already. Just make sure of your neighbors. No empty houses especially!

problemwithcaring March 17, 2011 at 12:49 am

The banks know that if they just keep pretending this shit is worth something, dumfucks will keep paying for it. Glen Beck investment rules, 101.

MadBrahms March 16, 2011 at 4:47 pm

The CBC can laugh, but they know that Canada's economy is intimately tied to U.S. resource demands, and less houses is bad news bears for Canadian foresters, for sure.

Ah, the "shadow inventory". Reserve houses for the reserve army of the unemployed.

Selfish_T March 16, 2011 at 5:08 pm

If I was homeless, I'd be living in one of the thousands of half-finished or abandoned houses on the overgrown fringes of what used to be exurban southwest Florida. Wide selection of accommodations, nice weather most of the year, nobody around to bother me. And the houses pretty much replaced the panthers, so that's not a problem.

donner_froh March 16, 2011 at 6:36 pm

Pynchon wrote the wedding vows which is why the ceremony took two weeks.

not that Dewey March 16, 2011 at 8:11 pm

Can you even imagine? Did he have a grocery bag with a question mark over his head during the ceremony?

WriteyWriterton March 16, 2011 at 11:21 pm

And nobody's ever really read it all the way through. Not even Pynchon.

(Okay, I've read nearly every one of his books. And, after "V" and "The Crying of Lot 49," which I loved, I'm not sure why. He sure used "preteritic" a lot in "Gravity's Rainbow." I kept looking it up and kept forgetting what it meant, but maybe because it took me five year to read it.)

TMI?

donner_froh March 16, 2011 at 6:43 pm

Deregulated financial markets are gifts from JAY-zus. Back in the boring old days all an investor could do was buy and sell stocks and bonds–no fun at all. Now the Masters of the Universe can create paper assets and make them worth billions, just because they feel like it.

Capitalism is going out with a bang.

exchangerates March 18, 2011 at 2:23 am

Well when i kicked out of my house ,I took a 40 ,000 dollar second loan out about 6 months before and bought 2 quads and a trailer and a new chevy truck to pull it with . Needless to say i just turned in the keys and walked away from the house . I still have my truck, trailer and 2 quads and enjoy them every weekend. Only in america !!!!! Perfect riding weather today in California !

Negropolis March 16, 2011 at 3:34 pm

The Inland Empire, if it isn't already, is nearly majority hispanic if I remember correctly. There are still a lot of Okies and their descendents, but I think California actually lost white residents over the last decade.

BaldarTFlagass March 16, 2011 at 3:54 pm

I lived in Redlands for a couple of years, as I recall it was pretty nice except the barrio over on the NW side. But then, that was 35 years ago and from the Googlemap I can see that all the orange groves we used to have BB gun wars in are now subdivisions. Not enough resolution to see if they have "foreclosed" signs out front, though.

WriteyWriterton March 16, 2011 at 11:23 pm

Probably to Alaska, which can, as we agree, keep 'em.

Comments on this entry are closed.

Previous post:

Next post: