except dean was a good dnc chair

Nate Silver Calls It For Deeds; McAuliffe Is New Howard Dean

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Terry on better daysNate Silver and the nerdlingtons at FiveThirtyEight are liveblogging the Virginia election results (which are hidden and secret) and have called it, meaning it is officially over, by law: “7:45 EDT [Nate]: OK, the 538 decision desk is calling this one for R. Creigh Deeds. Almost half the vote is in, and although we’re a little bit light on turnout from areas like Richmond, neither Moran nor McAuliffe is doing anywhere near as well as they’d need to to make up for Deeds’ large advantage. It’s really a battle for second place at this point.” MORE, Silver, MUSH MUSH!

This is Nate’s friend, “Ed:”

7:50 EDT [Ed]: With the votes now pouring in, Creigh Deeds is winning in nine of Virginia’s eleven congressional districts (Moran narrowly leads in the 8th on the strength of his Alexandria performance, but the lead probably won’t hold, and McAuliffe leads narrowly in the 3d, with Richmond still out). This is quite a statewide victory for Deeds.

Meh. Ed, Schmed. NATE!!!

8:00 EDT [Nate]: This really is looking like a collapse of Howard Dean in Iowa proportions for McAuliffe; he had the lead just two weeks ago and now he’s about to lose by 20+ points.

Time to go back to bundling and getting drunk on the teevee.

Virginia Gubernatorial Primary Live Blog [FiveThirtyEight]

About the author

Jim Newell is Wonkette's beloved Capitol Hill Typing Demon. He joined Wonkette.com in 2007, left for some other dumb job in 2010, and proudly returned in 2012 as our "Senior Editor at Large." He lives in Washington and also writes for things such as The Guardian, the Manchester paper of liberals.

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  • Hart88

    McAuliffe raised a shitload of money and still lost big? Imagine my surprise…

  • smellyal8r

    Thank God. Having that a-hole as Gov of VA was not a good vision of the future. Hopefully, this also puts an end to his teevee appearances and he can disappear into the woodwork. Pray it will be so. Mebbe Bill the C needs someone to pick up chicks for him…

  • Texan Bulldoggette

    Never fear. Like cockroaches, Newt Gingrich & Cher, the Macker will be back to make us all cringe & avert our eyes.


    R Creigh Deeds, done dirt cheap!

  • Brendan M.

    Take it to Denver, T-Mac!

  • Zach

    I’m glad wonkette has as huge a hardon for nate silver as I do

  • Brendan M.

    [re=335383]smellyal8r[/re]: Checks. You mean checks.

  • glamourdammerung

    Fuck McAuliffe.

    Not literally.

  • Scrodd

    Does McAuliffe even know where Virginia is?

  • BillyClubb

    “Mr. Deeds Goes To Washington” Apologies to Adam Sandler, and to Virginia.

  • Deepthroat

    So, does this make Charlie Christ the new Terry McAuliffe?

  • Snuggles McButterworth

    The results aren’t hidden. You just have to know where to look. The VA state bd of elections’ website has real time election results by district, precinct, etc.

    keep in mind that Deeds lost to McDonnell in the 2005 Atty Gen race by 323 votes. So this should be interesting.
    I’m going to get banned just for being the biggest dork in this thread.

  • cal

    [re=335402]Snuggles McButterworth[/re]: Hey, we like dorks!

    Nate Silver is our pretend boyfriend, after all.

  • dennymcden

    Let’s all eat shoes. Nate could calculate what the probability is that we’re all Morans.

  • taylormattd

    [re=335389]Zach[/re]: Who doesn’t? Yum.

  • bago

    This thread has everything. 9/11 Virginian districts, a Moran, and Nate Silver.

  • Jukesgrrl

    [re=335399]Scrodd[/re]: Virginia is that place across the river from where Hillary lives. With all the Asian take-out joints and the CIA offices hidden in nondescript high-rises.

  • WickedWitch

    Does that mean that T-Mac will take back the DNC from “House of Pain” Kaine for a repeat engagement as Mr. Moneybags?

  • Suds McKenzie

    [re=335400]BillyClubb[/re]: no one should ever appologize to Adam Sandler. …no one – ever.

  • mookworthjwilson

    [re=335400]BillyClubb[/re]: Wouldn’t he be going to Richmond???

  • Lionel Hutz Esq.

    I’m sorry, I just have to check. Is that a picture of McCauliffe riding a mechanical bull on the Death Star?

  • MrsNateSilver

    It’s like you’ve been spying on me, Ken. “MORE, Silver, MUSH MUSH!” is how I end all of my nights. Nerds are the most attentive lovers, of course.

  • MrsNateSilver

    Damn, I mean Jim’s been spying on me but whatever who cares. Argh. Stupidhead.

  • norbizness

    I got a melon-baller and ravioli-crimper from R. Creigh Deeds.

  • Brian MORAN

    [re=335388]Brendan M.[/re]: Precisely!

    Has The Denver Group released a statement? What about the creepy PUMA guy who was caught molesting the wax doll of Princess Di or something, Harriet Inadequateblackman, First Female VP candidate Geraldo Fonzerella, or the Socialite Von Yachtsalot who hates elitism almost as much as the rednecks?

    Bill Clinton has never forgiven Bill Richardson you know! And neither has the family of Whizzer White!

    Who is this Deeds fellows Jeremiah Wright? That’s what I want to know. Over to you superdelegates.

    If Terry is robbed of this nomination by the Move On fuckers and their damn voters, maybe VH1 will give him a reality show.

    Terry of Love: Campaign Bus

    Free Alcohol ladies (In the form of TM’s saliva)!

  • hobospacejunkie

    [re=335496]Brian MORAN[/re]: Why does Whizzer White’s family hold a grudge against Bill Richardson?

  • Suds McKenzie

    Next up for Terry … “driving Mr. Daschle”

  • nutcracker

    Virginians just don’t cotton to no carpetbaggin’ Yankees. McAuliffe will be tarred and feathered, and run out of town on the proverbial rail, at the Richmond amtrak station today at noon.

  • Tra

    Howard Dean was useful and constructive, whereas McAuliffe is just clueless.

  • bago

    [re=335539]nutcracker[/re]: No, but they periodically cotton to carpet munching Yankees.