EXCEPT DEAN WAS A GOOD DNC CHAIR  8:21 pm June 9, 2009

Nate Silver Calls It For Deeds; McAuliffe Is New Howard Dean

by Jim Newell

Terry on better daysNate Silver and the nerdlingtons at FiveThirtyEight are liveblogging the Virginia election results (which are hidden and secret) and have called it, meaning it is officially over, by law: “7:45 EDT [Nate]: OK, the 538 decision desk is calling this one for R. Creigh Deeds. Almost half the vote is in, and although we’re a little bit light on turnout from areas like Richmond, neither Moran nor McAuliffe is doing anywhere near as well as they’d need to to make up for Deeds’ large advantage. It’s really a battle for second place at this point.” MORE, Silver, MUSH MUSH!

This is Nate’s friend, “Ed:”

7:50 EDT [Ed]: With the votes now pouring in, Creigh Deeds is winning in nine of Virginia’s eleven congressional districts (Moran narrowly leads in the 8th on the strength of his Alexandria performance, but the lead probably won’t hold, and McAuliffe leads narrowly in the 3d, with Richmond still out). This is quite a statewide victory for Deeds.

Meh. Ed, Schmed. NATE!!!

8:00 EDT [Nate]: This really is looking like a collapse of Howard Dean in Iowa proportions for McAuliffe; he had the lead just two weeks ago and now he’s about to lose by 20+ points.

Time to go back to bundling and getting drunk on the teevee.

Virginia Gubernatorial Primary Live Blog [FiveThirtyEight]

 

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{ 30 comments }

Hart88 June 9, 2009 at 8:24 pm

McAuliffe raised a shitload of money and still lost big? Imagine my surprise…

smellyal8r June 9, 2009 at 8:26 pm

Thank God. Having that a-hole as Gov of VA was not a good vision of the future. Hopefully, this also puts an end to his teevee appearances and he can disappear into the woodwork. Pray it will be so. Mebbe Bill the C needs someone to pick up chicks for him…

Texan Bulldoggette June 9, 2009 at 8:26 pm

Never fear. Like cockroaches, Newt Gingrich & Cher, the Macker will be back to make us all cringe & avert our eyes.

NYNYNY June 9, 2009 at 8:27 pm

R Creigh Deeds, done dirt cheap!

Brendan M. June 9, 2009 at 8:29 pm

Take it to Denver, T-Mac!

Zach June 9, 2009 at 8:31 pm

I’m glad wonkette has as huge a hardon for nate silver as I do

Brendan M. June 9, 2009 at 8:33 pm

[re=335383]smellyal8r[/re]: Checks. You mean checks.

glamourdammerung June 9, 2009 at 8:34 pm

Fuck McAuliffe.

Not literally.

Scrodd June 9, 2009 at 8:42 pm

Does McAuliffe even know where Virginia is?

BillyClubb June 9, 2009 at 8:42 pm

“Mr. Deeds Goes To Washington” Apologies to Adam Sandler, and to Virginia.

Deepthroat June 9, 2009 at 8:45 pm

So, does this make Charlie Christ the new Terry McAuliffe?

Snuggles McButterworth June 9, 2009 at 8:45 pm

The results aren’t hidden. You just have to know where to look. The VA state bd of elections’ website has real time election results by district, precinct, etc.
https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/Election/DATA/2009/B19D959E-A4DD-4C27-BC08-30C8F2FF2F92/Unofficial/2_s.shtml

keep in mind that Deeds lost to McDonnell in the 2005 Atty Gen race by 323 votes. So this should be interesting.
I’m going to get banned just for being the biggest dork in this thread.

cal June 9, 2009 at 8:59 pm

[re=335402]Snuggles McButterworth[/re]: Hey, we like dorks!

Nate Silver is our pretend boyfriend, after all.

dennymcden June 9, 2009 at 9:15 pm

Let’s all eat shoes. Nate could calculate what the probability is that we’re all Morans.

taylormattd June 9, 2009 at 9:29 pm

[re=335389]Zach[/re]: Who doesn’t? Yum.

bago June 9, 2009 at 9:45 pm

This thread has everything. 9/11 Virginian districts, a Moran, and Nate Silver.

Jukesgrrl June 9, 2009 at 9:59 pm

[re=335399]Scrodd[/re]: Virginia is that place across the river from where Hillary lives. With all the Asian take-out joints and the CIA offices hidden in nondescript high-rises.

WickedWitch June 9, 2009 at 10:01 pm

Does that mean that T-Mac will take back the DNC from “House of Pain” Kaine for a repeat engagement as Mr. Moneybags?

Suds McKenzie June 9, 2009 at 10:04 pm

[re=335400]BillyClubb[/re]: no one should ever appologize to Adam Sandler. …no one – ever.

mookworthjwilson June 9, 2009 at 10:17 pm

[re=335400]BillyClubb[/re]: Wouldn’t he be going to Richmond???

Lionel Hutz Esq. June 9, 2009 at 10:24 pm

I’m sorry, I just have to check. Is that a picture of McCauliffe riding a mechanical bull on the Death Star?

MrsNateSilver June 9, 2009 at 11:03 pm

It’s like you’ve been spying on me, Ken. “MORE, Silver, MUSH MUSH!” is how I end all of my nights. Nerds are the most attentive lovers, of course.

MrsNateSilver June 9, 2009 at 11:05 pm

Damn, I mean Jim’s been spying on me but whatever who cares. Argh. Stupidhead.

norbizness June 10, 2009 at 12:04 am

I got a melon-baller and ravioli-crimper from R. Creigh Deeds.

Brian MORAN June 10, 2009 at 12:14 am

[re=335388]Brendan M.[/re]: Precisely!

Has The Denver Group released a statement? What about the creepy PUMA guy who was caught molesting the wax doll of Princess Di or something, Harriet Inadequateblackman, First Female VP candidate Geraldo Fonzerella, or the Socialite Von Yachtsalot who hates elitism almost as much as the rednecks?

Bill Clinton has never forgiven Bill Richardson you know! And neither has the family of Whizzer White!

Who is this Deeds fellows Jeremiah Wright? That’s what I want to know. Over to you superdelegates.

If Terry is robbed of this nomination by the Move On fuckers and their damn voters, maybe VH1 will give him a reality show.

Terry of Love: Campaign Bus

Free Alcohol ladies (In the form of TM’s saliva)!

hobospacejunkie June 10, 2009 at 3:28 am

[re=335496]Brian MORAN[/re]: Why does Whizzer White’s family hold a grudge against Bill Richardson?

Suds McKenzie June 10, 2009 at 4:20 am

Next up for Terry … “driving Mr. Daschle”

nutcracker June 10, 2009 at 7:04 am

Virginians just don’t cotton to no carpetbaggin’ Yankees. McAuliffe will be tarred and feathered, and run out of town on the proverbial rail, at the Richmond amtrak station today at noon.

Tra June 10, 2009 at 10:56 am

Howard Dean was useful and constructive, whereas McAuliffe is just clueless.

bago June 10, 2009 at 12:24 pm

[re=335539]nutcracker[/re]: No, but they periodically cotton to carpet munching Yankees.

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