Wonkette
This morning’s numbers are grim on Wall Street but pretty good for Mr. Hopey. Obama’s leading 49-42 in Ohio, 50-40 in Pennsylvania, and, uh, 55-37 in Minnesota. Over at FiveThirtyEight.com, the current projection is 340 electoral votes for Barry and 198 for Walnuts! Good lord, is that even possible? Probably not, somehow! So just assume it’s all terrible disinformation to make you liberals think it’s time to cash your welfare check and get high for the four weeks straight. [Bloomberg/FiveThirtyEight.com]
As long as Republicans have the fix in with Diebold, actual votes don’t matter.
If these numbers hold, the election might be out of the range of GOP Stealability!!!
So when’s the cocktober surprise dropping?
There was a dumb AP story about the possibility of a tie in the election and what would happen, and the “tie” they had in mind involved Pennsylvania and Ohio both choosing Walnutty Crunch over Chocolate Swirl, and I was like, “are you fucking joking AP”
yeah, but sadly, these numbers predate the BARRY HUSSEIN IS A MUSLIN WHO HAS SEX WITH TERRORISTS commercials and I AM CUTE OBAMA IS A DOMESTIC BABY KILLER AND BOMBER speeches from Caribou Barbie. I betcha those are going to have an effect.
That map looks suspiciously like the United States of Canada vs. Jesusland map:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesusland_map
It’s Spreading! That Horrible Blue Oooze!
339 for Obama. It’s only 393 if you include the Democratic “let’s just say all citizens of Mexico are US citizens, even if they don’t come up here” illegal alien plan.
The whole 50 states idea was to make Rove have to spread his election-stealing team out too thin.
Doglessliberal: Something tells me these scare tactics won’t work. At least, they won’t work on anyone but the doomed trolls already voting for McCain. It won’t turn the numbers in his favor.
And if the Repubs are using Ayers, why shouldn’t Obama bring up someone like G. Gordon Liddy, a hired thug willing to commit murder for the right? He contributes to McCain’s campaign financially.
I know some people are looking for one random thing - so they can vote against Barack, but I don’t see these maneuvers as doing the trick. Is this country still hardlining against radicals who hated the Vietnam War? Me no think so.
my electoral map at rcp has had obama winning by 350 for the past few weeks. I’m crossing my fingers.
the current projection is 398 electoral votes for Barry and 193 for Walnuts! Good lord, is that even possible?
Considering that is 591 electoral votes, I’d agree it isn’t possible. Blah, blah, blah, in the tank.
There’s nothing Americans hate more than a loser, and Juan McCain and his campaign have the high stench of cadaverous fail all over them right now. As a bitter liberal, I approve this turn of events.
I’ve been telling you all for a couple months now. All those folks I know (and am related to) in the defunct coal mining towns in Pennsylvania are going to quietly vote for Obama. The only way OUT of those towns for many people is the military or catch the bus to DC, Baltimore, Pittsburg, or Philly and take their chances finding a job.
Two endless wars means that the young men and women who tried the military route are being maimed or killed, then those veterans preferences in hiring after you get out mean less now that there are so many of your fellow vets looking for work.
The economy tanking means that you can take that ride to the big city, but finding work is more and more difficult.
ANOTHER of my cousins up there, this one a life long Republican and with certain opinions along race lines, told me he’s decided to vote for Hopey.
Ohio may have a similar pattern, at least in the Rust Belt sections (as opposed to the farming areas).
Minnesota, who can figure out that place. They elect liberals, conservatives, wrestlers, insane baby collectors, all over the darn spectrum of philosophy and level of sanity.
ABitOfACommunist: I still think “Revolutionary Communist Party” when I see “RCP.”
Yeh, but that poll was taken BEFORE Lieberman’s endorsement of Palin.
Can McCain get negative electoral votes? He better start playing those Ayers and Wright cards harder, or else he might escape with some sense of dignity and an actual state in the win column. He clearly doesn’t want that based on his campaign so far.
http://thesebastards.blogspot.com/
What I like most about this is it’s buried for the moment talk about Hopey not being able to close the deal and running behind state and local Dems. Of course, the Strib poll also showed Franken up by 7 points or so, which I am pretty sure is total baloney, so don’t go counting your unicorns yet.
magic titty: All the GOP types on Morning Joe said they didn’t think the Ayers thing was going to work, either. Pretty bad when your own people are giving you a fail.
Although they had one suggestion that is just crazy enough to at least cause a few people to give Grampy a second look. Basically, if McOldster is desperate enough to throw the Ayers bomb, why not go all mavericky on solving the economic mess? Create a completely radical plan for solving things. It sets him apart from Bush and Obama. And at this point, if it doesn’t work, he’s probably lost nothing by trying. Intriguing idea.
339.7* to 198.3 would be accurate.
magic titty: I hope you are right. Obama has to tread carefully though and cannot be too “scary black man” and negative, while also not being too wimpy. It is really tough.
Terry: the guy in Wilkes-Barre they quoted on NPR this morning makes me worry. He is a Dem, always voted Dem, but says Barry “is too good to be true, he has answers for all the questions”, so the guy is leaning toward McCain. This is the intellectual level we are dealing with here.
SlouchingTowardsWasilla: WIN.
magic titty: Any cautious optimism I harbor stems from the fact that Barry’s survived two waves of Reverend Wright stories and the bitter/clingy remarks. I don’t see the Ayers stuff or the Rezko stuff really playing with the undecideds.
…by the time the polls are closed on the east coast this whole race may be over.
Doglessliberal: Also on NPR: did you hear the interview with the woman from Incest Gulch, Virginia? She was a Hillary supporter who was ascared that Barry would only look out for “them people” if he got elected.
As Chris Rock noted
Even if he wins they’ll just change the rules. They’ll say “Hey, it’s great that you got the most votes. Too bad you lost.”
sean insanity has been beating the ayres drum for months now — he even called ayres hopey’s best friend (???WTF???) — and it’s barely taking hold. i think people will see it for the desparate and pathetic last gasp that it is. it’s hysterical how they all refer to him as the “unrepentant former terrorist”.
i’m more worried about rev. wright and his purported book which is sposed to be released before the election.
I think Ohio and Virginia should squeeze together like buttocks and expel West Virginia and its pink tards into the Deep South, where they all belong in sister-lovin’ land.
Obama should run a ad about the stock market crashing. The ad would show walnuts dressed as the monopoly man, He would be carrying sacks of money to his many houses. Cue him saying the fundamentals are stong. Also for kick throw in his comment from 1998 saying this.
“You could say, Look, is this guy, Laden, really the bad guy that’s depicted? Most of us have never heard of him before. And where there is a parallel with Vietnam is: What’s plan B? What do we do next? We sent our troops into Vietnam to protect the bases. Lyndon Johnson said, Only to protect the bases. Next thing you know….Well, we’ve declared to the terrorists that we’re going to strike them wherever they live. That’s fine. But what’s next? That’s where there might be some comparison.”
http://www.motherjones.com/mojoblog/archives/2008/10/10092_mccain_flip-flop_osama_african_embassies_bombing.html
Doglessliberal: Or is the translation that Barry is too black to be true?
if you listen to NPR you’re clearly elitists!
AngryBlakGuy: Aren’t you in Florida? Isn’t there a law against Prostitution? That is what I heard coming out of Clearwater this morning.
Doglessliberal: It’s fascinating the tightrope he has to walk, and seems to be walking. Also, that guy in NPR you mentioned is…well…wow.
obfuscator: I think a lot of undecideds/independents may have thought long and hard about bombing up some gubb’ment shit during the Vietnam War, so I agree, this doesnt really hurt Barack much.
obfuscator: yes, and she said something like “if you want to call that racist, or whatever. . . ” Yeah, bitch, you are a bigot.
Able-bodied childless males don’t get welfare checks, and must pay out of pocket for our own weed, because we are the Jews of liberal fascism.
Hey Barry,
This is god. Yeah, I know you are saying, WTF, god’s on Wonkette now?
But I have a message for you cause I have a vested interest in you winning the election to make up for me letting that dufus in the White house currently.
Anyway, I have sent a secret weapon for you. It will bring you victory.
In the meantime, just stay on the Walnutz target.
Oh, the secret weapon I personally picked for you is called a Sarah Palin. The joke’s on Johnny boy.
-The Lord
Itsjustme: oh, yeah, I totally heard that as “he is an uppity negra thinking he is better than me. Got above his place”.
whatever_dc: well, yes. Admitted elitists.
Doglessliberal:
You generally won’t lose money betting against America’s brain reserves, but when the ship of state is taking on water like the Titanic, even the bitters have been known to see the light.
whatever_dc: Olbermann will more or less kick The Little Ball of Hate, Hannity in the nutz tonight. I am banking on it and KO has not let me down yet!
Cogito Ergo Bibo: “why not go all mavericky on solving the economic mess? Create a completely radical plan for solving things.”
Errr….because he doesn’t know how to solve things that are this incredibly complicated.
1. Foreign policy; he says he ‘knows how to win wars’; still waiting for an example of that one
2. Health insurance; he’s already admitted to pay for his health care, he’ll have to cut Medicare/Medicaid. That’s going to go over really well in FL & wherever old people live.
3. Economic policy; see last two weeks.
4. VA care–Veteran organizations rate him a 20 & while Barry gets an 80.
All Walnuts knows how to do is pander, lie & lob stink bombs. I hope he loses every state. (Sorry no snark.)
Shot at Wolf: nice metaphor blend!
Jesus Christ, how did I type those electoral vote numbers so WRONG??
Sorry, I’m using a goddamned giant Compaq Laptop today and have forgotten how this huge dumb keyboard and number-pad thing works. Tomorrow I get my MacBook again, hooray!
Terry:
…your Minnesota analysis was right on, except you forgot one political category…mildly funny, ex-snl writers who run for congress. A subset of the “liberal, ex-wrestler” senate position.
(rip, Wellstone).
oh, and total random topic change–this election year, and year in general, has provided some excellent Halloween costume possibilities. I think Teh Wonkette should ask people to create the best ones ever and send in photos.
Doglessliberal:
Yeah. And I’ve got lots more where they came from!
Ken Layne: I know financial times are tough and all, but you really should’ve considered pawning off the MacBook for soup money before you went and sold Sara into white slavery
Texan Bulldoggette: I personally hope he shats himself in public.
Barack Obama: President of the Destitute States of Hobos
obfuscator: Are there that many more undecideds? I get the feeling that over the past couple of weeks, when Walnuts was running around with whats left of his hair on fire, people started making their choices.
I’m waiting for the McCain ad that says;
“Obama is friends and has been known to associate with devious crook’s name.”
Texan Bulldoggette:
When Palin said, “He knows how to win wars”, my reaction was, “Really? According to my scorecard, he’s 0-1, and spent most of that one on injured reserve.”
Well, I’ve decided to withhold judgement on the numbers until Laura Ingalls Wildest drops by to dump some polls here indicating that Hopey just CAN’T win the important battleground states that belong to Hillz.
Because LIW has never lied to me yet.
BTW: Whatever happened to the mighty PUMA movement?
Doglessliberal:
Well, he also may get lost on the way to the polling place on election day.
On the preacher front, I’m surprised that McCain/Palin are bringing up Rev Wright again, given Palin’s own preacher issues that include driving the influences of witchcraft from her body and praying that the Israelites will no longer be in control. Ack. No, I take that back, I’m not surprised, it’s just a symptom of how desperate McCain is at this point. Send the woman out to fight, loaded with half truths (or less) and folksy chatter.
Damn, John. Really? This is what you’ve come down to?
I won’t be happy until the Repug party is “down to the size where we can drown it in [Grover Norquist's] bathtub.”
Nevada and California are doing something dirty.
obfuscator: Well, Dubya also claims to be a wartime leader. As a player he never even got called up for the big game and spent his career in Triple-A Texas League instead, and as a coach he’s 0-2.
Doglessliberal: because i like you are an elitist NPR listener i heard the virginia cracker report too this morning and i was shaving while listening to it and it’s a wonder i didn’t cut my neck artery when she said that! sadly, i kind of wanted to cut it…
Cape Clod: I assume that’s what he and Mooselini will spend the next four weeks doing. I hope the voters see him throwing all manner of shit at Barry, flailing away wildly with his little tyrannosaurus rex arms, and realize how pathetic and devoid of substance his campaign has been since he became the presumptive nominee.
Scooter: Another month of this shit and we’ll have a Republican McGovern. Dude’s only gonna take one state. [Denial - Zero EC votes.]
It takes a full generation to bounce back from that kind of drubbing. See y’all in 2028, which is the next time it’ll be competitive.
Canuckledragger: believe me, mclame will take utah — it’s the washington dc of republiclown states: completely in the bag!
Wow. I don’t know how we can screw this up, but we’ll find a way somehow.
Naked Bunny with a Whip: You’re on to something. If Hopey really wants to win, he should come out and say, “Screw you guys, I’m too smart to take on this thing. I’m leaving.” Then Merka sees him off to Hawaii for the vacation and begs hims back. “He’p us, Hopey, Walnuts is the crazy.”
We could not fail to elect someone who dumps us firt…..he will especially get every woman’s vote that way.
It’s so nice to know that McCain is gonna win this thing, without question.
Texan Bulldoggette:
— he says he ‘knows how to win wars’; still waiting for an example of that one —
How soon we forget: McNuggests was instrumental in the defense of Rome against Hannibal’s dusky legions. In fact, McAged suspended his campaign for proconsul just to help in that.
Pro patria, bitches!
well, there is still that pesky “Help America Vote Act” passed by a Republican Congress and signed into law by Bush.
My state has voter ID now. So, under HAVA, there must be a ‘perfect match’ of ID.
http://www.stealbackyourvote.org or Greg Palast web site….
You can download a free comic book with instructions on how to make sure they do not protest your vote.
Vote early. (to fix any problems with ID)
Demand a real ballot. (do not vote provisionally)
This has been a public service announcement because a bag of dicks has been jammed up our election process.
Texan Bulldoggette: Hey, I completely agree with you. Grampy doesn’t seem to know how to find his way out of a paper bag, much less the economic mess we’re in. But I thought the discussion an interesting one, largely due to the freedom a candidate with nothing left to lose has. The folks on Joe all agreed that attacking, without having your own plan, ain’t really gonna work. It was more of a hypothetical, “If he could just offer a real choice on the economy, he might live to fight another day.” Do I think that’s gonna happen? Nope.
Did any one else notice that the person the Bush Administration chose to run the bailout is named Cash and Carry? No? Sorry.
obfuscator: The little TRex arms, perfect old school Wonkette.
Cogito Ergo Bibo: Yes, when he & Bible Spice can conjure up a mavericky plan for the economy (or anything) that’ll be the day that Rachel Maddow & Pat Buchanan get caught in a clinch in the coat closet.
Hey - Barry could end up with, like, 545 electoral community-college votes because most of the dead people will vote for him. Heck, there’s 8500 of ‘em in Connecticut, a once-properous socialist regime in the northeast United States, which is now broke because all the bankers who live in Fairfield County have hung themselves from their favorite chandeliers in their McMansions. 8500 - that’s about the population of Wasilla!
http://www.courant.com/news/local/hc-postscript1006.artoct06,0,3654162.story
obfuscator: She said *Whores* Win Whores
Charles Osgood’s segment on CBS Radio News this morning was about the Truman-Dewey race of 1948. As in “DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN”, a perfect example of the media getting it all wrong.
The thing that scares the crap out of me is another Dewey/Truman moment happening again through the Bradley Effect, resulting in poll numbers inflated in Barry’s favor. But there is so much analysis of this race, and now meta-analysis thanks to fivethirtyeight.com, that it’s hard to imagine everyone getting it so wrong…
SlouchingTowardsWasilla: I heart u.
Texan Bulldoggette: Eww. I was eating lunch when I read that. Poor Rachel. I don’t even want to consider the mental and emotional damage, if that were ever to happen.
President Beeblebrox: I think/hope pollsters are underpolling college kids/AAs/new voters. There are also the intangibles you can’t count — GOTV efforts, party enthusiasm & turnout. I’m hoping these folks make up for any Bradley effect, but we’ll only know for sure in 29 days. I hope my liver can hang on for that long.
This is extremely great news, it shows the result of hours and hours of effort and tons of very hard work. I am very afraid of the caging and voter disenfranchisement that is obviously going on; large turnout numbers can overcome those problems though.
Your site is the best, I love the irreverence.
Keep it up.
S.Luggo: HA HA!!! SPQR Bitches!!!
Terry: McCain is at this point. Send the woman out to fight, loaded with half truths (or less) and folksy chatter.
Don’t forget the look-I-didn’t-abort-this-retard prop baby. That’s Walnuts number one strategy. The campaign smells a lot like desperation. Unfocused, erratic attacks in the hope that one of them will work.
Looks like it’s time for Sarah to pull out the big guns: tight sweaters and cantering on horseback. Err, mooseback.
The United States are in the tank for Obama
I thought the original post was funny. Cashing in and giving up.
Is that alright to say?
“So just assume it’s all terrible disinformation to make you liberals think it’s time to cash your welfare check and get high for the four weeks straight.”
It’s too late. I took Syrah Plain’s advice from SNL and have already egun my drinking game….every time Hopey gains a percentage point in dem polls, I chug a lug, whiff a spliff….
Poor, poor McCranky, this is NOT good for his “walnuts” scab, it’s just going to ooze and fester all the more he sends out his flying monkeys with “Ayers” and “Wright” and “terrarist pals” and woozy doozy meh meh meh
http://i179.photobucket.com/albums/w285/kimmychilds/el/el0306.gif
Okay Obama’s leading 49-42 in Ohio, 50-40 in Pennsylvania, and, uh, 55-37 in Minnesota but what about virginia?
Virginia SurveyUSA Obama 53, McCain 43 Obama +10
Virginia SuffolkObama 51, McCain 39 Obama +12
Okay, Obama’s leading 49-42 in Ohio, 50-40 in Pennsylvania, and, uh, 55-37 in Minnesota but what about virginia?
Virginia SurveyUSA Obama 53, McCain 43 Obama +10
Virginia Suffolk Obama 51, McCain 39 Obama +12
I ought to have put it in writing when I thought of it six months ago: an Obama landslide.
“Twice the height of McExxon”, I wrote to friends, Obama will simply place his big hand on that bare little pale head of Walnuts! and hold it there while those stumpy little arms flail wildly in every direction, uselessly…..
if only I pulled my money out of Merrill Lynch, Washington Mutual and Lehman and bet it on a Barry bonanza!!
http://dailyrepublic.typepad.com/photos/uncategorized/2008/05/19/obama_ready_to_ko_mccain.jpg
You know times are bad when even the racists are considering abandoning the Republican party:
An Obama supporter, who canvassed for the candidate in the working-class, white Philadelphia neighborhood of Fishtown recently, sends over an account that, in various forms, I’ve heard a lot in recent weeks.
“What’s crazy is this,” he writes. “I was blown away by the outright racism, but these folks are f***ing undecided. They would call him a n—-r and mention how they don’t know what to do because of the economy.”
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1008/Race_and_the_economy.html?showall
Why do racists hate America?
THE RACISTS are in the tank for OBAMA!
Gothca!
Obama is +7 in Florida:
Florida FOX News/Rasmussen Obama 52, McCain 45 Obama +7
In response, McCain threatens to cut Medicare -
Jon has a meaty, substantive post about about today’s Wall Street Journal’s report that John McCain proposes to cut Medicare and Medicaid. I’ll leave the substance to Jon for now, and point out that John McCain proposes to cut Medicare and Medicaid in an election year.
http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/10/06/mccain-s-m
edicare-suicide.aspx
John McCain would pay for his health plan with major reductions to Medicare and Medicaid, a top aide said, in a move that independent analysts estimate could result in cuts of $1.3 trillion over 10 years to the government programs.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122315505846605217.html?mod=special_pa
ge_campaign2008_mostpop
I’ve called the race. Obama won.
http://www.slander08.com/2008/10/07/the-race-is-over/