Tag Archives: projections

  polling shocker

Rove’s Electoral Projections Were Realistic-ish!

Nobody quite knew what to make of Karl Rove’s very aggressive election night projections, but it seemed safe to conclude that he was trying to mess with Barack Obama in a very sinister and subtle way. People feared that Rove’s projection of 338 electoral votes set the bar too high, so that if Obama won narrowly he would look “illegitimate.” And if Obama lost, he would really look like a loser. Read more on Rove’s Electoral Projections Were Realistic-ish!…
  liveblogging election night

Liveblogging The 8:00 (ET!) Wave Of Unimportant Results

The only question we have for this latest batch of states is: will Maryland stay in the Democratic column? What? Exactly. Now let’s watch the CNN people eagerly discuss how there will not be projections re: Florida or Pennsylvania for another FIVE AND A HALF YEARS. Roland Martin probably has an interesting take on this! 8:00 — Oh crap on a stick, there are a million projections: Obama — IL, MA, DE, NJ, ME, DC, MD; McCain: TN, OK. No surprises. UPDATE: Liberal MSNBC calls PA for Obama, CNN does not. Read more on Liveblogging The 8:00 (ET!) Wave Of Unimportant Results…
  polling theories

Bizarro Bradley Effect Shocker: Voters Secretly Refuse To Support Republican Candidates

Through the magic of his math and numbers, Nate Silver has proved conclusively that modern American voters have a very secret shameful prejudice they will only indulge in the privacy of the polling booth: they do not like Republicans. Sure, they will tell a pollster on the phone, “Yes, I am definitely voting for that nice Republican. Some of my best friends are Republicans!” but then they will still pull the lever for the Democrat when nobody is looking. This is why so many Republican candidates underperformed in 2006 poll projections. Americans must have an open, honest dialogue about party affiliation so that our poll projections can be more accurate. [FiveThirtyEight] Read more on Bizarro Bradley Effect Shocker: Voters Secretly Refuse To Support Republican Candidates…
  numbers and statistics

That FiveThirtyEight Guy On ‘The Colbert Report’

Hey look who was on The Colbert Report last night — everybody’s new secret boyfriend, the esteemed baseball stats dork Nate Silver! He calls John McCain the Seattle Pilots, which is apparently funny? The point is, if this guy does not have a book deal and a standing job offer from Barack Obama by November 5, we will eat our hats. [Colbertnation] Read more on That FiveThirtyEight Guy On ‘The Colbert Report’…
 

OBAMA WINS BIG IN DC: Exit polls project a 3:1 win over Hillary Clinton.
 

Romney Will Be King Of California And Nowhere Else

According to John Zogby’s latest poll, Republican Senator John “Walnuts!” McCain is leading pretty much everywhere except in the great state of California, where conservatives want a leader with executive experience and magic underoos. Read more on Romney Will Be King Of California And Nowhere Else…