Tag: fivethirtyeight

Aw, Cute! Trumpkins Have Their Own Site Now That Says Trump Is WINNING In The Polls!

Once again, we have another dispatch from the Trumperverse, the parallel universe in which Donald Trump is a very respectful and humble person, who is totally going to win this election. As we mentioned the last time we visited...

West Virginia And Nebraska Have Primaries Tonight, If Those Are Even Real States

Oh hey, and YAWN, but it's another Tuesday where there are a couple of widdle bitty primaries happening and ZZZZZZ we don't even know. But maybe tonight will be super-exciting and we'll totally eat the words we just said...

It’s Super Tuesday Again! (For The Eleventy-Millionth Damn Time)

Now updated with some results! Hey, people in the Northeast who don't live in New York or Massachusetts or whatever! You live in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island, and you are wearing a sticker on your boob...

Old Handsome Joe Biden Has Ten Percent Chance Of Becoming Earth’s Most Important Human Tonight

Every once in a while, some lucky American who is not the president gets to be The Most Important Human Being On Earth. For a while, it was Olympia Snowe! Sometimes, it was that schmuck from Nebraska, Ben something,...
The first time I set eyes on Nate Silver, I just got that old-fashioned romantic feeling where I'd do anything to bone him.

How Every Endangered Senate Democrat Will Win In November, Because Why Not

It looks like Republicans are probably going to control the Senate next year despite how people don't like them, according to Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog and other respected nerds. In 2012, Silver famously predicted the winner of every Senate race,...

Nate Silver Calls It For Deeds; McAuliffe Is New Howard Dean

Nate Silver and the nerdlingtons at FiveThirtyEight are liveblogging the Virginia election results (which are hidden and secret) and have called it, meaning it is officially over, by law: "7:45 EDT : OK, the 538 decision desk is calling...

POLL ANALYST FIGHT!

In the months leading up to the presidential election, the single most important time of the day, every day, was late in the afternoon, when Nate Silver's "Today's Polls, dd/mm" from FiveThirtyEight would appear in America's Google Readers. Nothing...

Intrade Sez: 40 Percent Chance Of Depression

Hey people cheer up! Your Nate Silver, that mathbot you all loved so much until the election was over, has persisted with his math and numbers to this very day. Most of the time he just worries about that...

OK NOW IT'S TIME TO START HATING NATE SILVER: Remember how Nate Silver was working on a two-book deal? Well GOOD GOD: "New intelligence says Mr. Silver's advance is in the neighborhood of $700,000, give or take a few...

National Hero Nate Silver Writing Lots Of Books For Lots Of $$$

Oh Nate Silver, how we long for your embrace! Spin us a tale of numbers and regressions, just like in the old days? Like that time you Internet-fought the Real Clear Politics guy when he wasn't accurately weighing reputable...

So… Which Pollsters Live, Which Will Be Killed?

After 2004, two groups were blamed for making John Kerry's loss extra sad for the liberals: those secret retards from off-the-grid caves that Karl Rove forced to vote at the last minute, and pollsters. All of the pollsters failed...

Targeted McCain Ad Targeted Somewhat Poorly

Hmm... our secret money robot models are indicating high counterparty risk in this potential transaction? Oh what the hell, we'll throw a cool $2 trillion at this McCain victory fund and get one of them there credit dee-fault swaps...

Jesus Saving Prop 8?

Thank you to Wonkette tipster "MB" for directing us to this chart from today's most lurid math-porn site, FiveThirtyEight, of recent polls about California Proposition 8, the famous referendum which will decide whether the gays can keep getting married...

Bill Ayers’ Best Friend Continues To Win, With Bombs

Here are more of your fancy "math numbers" showing that Obama is not only still ahead in mostly every state in the world, but his leads are still growing. Wait... Obama? Who is the REAL Barack Obama? A space...

Shoulda Picked Mittens, Shoulda Picked Mittens. Just Saying!

Here's a chart from FiveThirtyEight, the damnable, smartypants, know-it-all site that... oh hell, we read the motherfucker compulsively. This chart shows the net favorability scores of the four candidates based on some recent polls, and as you can see,...