
Figuring out who the not-as-much losers were in our Indictment Bingo contest proved to be a rather complicated undertaking. If only Fitzy had not shown such discretion! We weighed entries based on ratio of right-to-wrong guesses and how early they were turned in. Wonk Dad wound up creating an equation for it the explanation of which is after the jump. If you feel you were unfairly judged, we will forward your statistical analysis to him.
In any case, the "most correct" proved to be those with the quickest fingers and the least confidence that justice would be done. They are:
Third place and winner of a stale pack of Air Force One M&Ms is "Lorenzo." Please get in touch, Lorenzo!
Second place and winner of an "Animal House" DVD is Thaddeus Nguyen.
First place and winner of breakfast for two at the St. Regis is "Abacusdog."
All together now: "We must always ask ourselves not only what is legal, but what is right!"
Indictment Bingo entry equation:
How about something like this: For an entry containing n bits of information (who and why) you give a percentage score (number right over number of guesses). Then apply a discount. If the maximum number of days before the announcement is n and the guesses are submitted in k days before, then multiply the score by (k/n). A guess submitted n days out gets n/n = 1 full credit. A guess submitted the day before the announcement gets 1/n credit.
READ MORE: cia leak investigation , contests , indictment bingo , patrick fitzgerald , plame investigation
"Winners" of the Indictment Bingo game -- aside from Karl Rove -- will be announced Monday. Results will be tabulated by the independent intern firm of Henry.
Thanks for playing, and the leakers will be caught.
Indictment Bingo [Wonkette]
READ MORE: contests , indictment bingo , karl rove , scooter libby
With reports saying that Fitzmas will fall at 4PM NOON GODDAMNIT NOON (wow) today, time is growing short for Indictment Bingo players. Of course, Fitzmas may come twice this year: If another round of indictments follow a second grad jury, we'll be sure to play again. For now, remember the rules: Send a list of those you believe will be indicted by this grand jury and what they will be indicted for to . Please put "Indictment Bingo" in the subject line. Authors of the three entries closest to the actual indictment list will win fabulous prizes, including an "Animal House" DVD and breakfast for two at the St. Regis. We will accept entries up until the official announcement, but in case of a tie, the earlier submission wins. Thought, really, when the government lies to you, everyone loses.
UPDATE: Docs coming at noon, there'll be a presser at 2PM. Very polite of Mr. Fitzgerald to give people time to read the thing.
Leak probe details to be released at noon ET [MSNBC]
READ MORE: fitzmas , indictment bingo , karl rove , plame investigation , scooter libby
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