Seems legitHere is a map from an “election forecasting model” that the Fox News sent out to America, and your Editrix found it on the Twitter and shared it in the Secret Wonkette Chat Room, for panic-laughs. But seriously, Fox News, try to be a bit more realistic! All of us who have been frantically refreshing Nate Silver’s Math and Numbers Emporium for succor know that there’s no way that Obama loses Pennsylvania and Minnesota but wins Nevada. Ain’t gonna happen! But we have a more likely map to flip out about, after the jump!


There you go, there’s a map that actually conforms to a realistic if pessimistic version of Nate’s current numbers and ends in an exact 269-269 tie, which, you know what that means: contingent election in the House of Representatives! Get ready for mass protests, politicians screaming at each other for months, John Boehner weeping openly, etc. Fun! [270 To Win is awesome if you like maps, and freaking yourself out]

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  • Needs moar blue


    • Mittens Howell, III

      Get off TV?

      but …

      • Well, that would be blue, yes.

      • Callyson

        The revolution will not be televised.

    • Isyaignert

      I am going to spend the afternoon leafleting a local precinct for the Dems right after lunch. I have registered some neighbors to vote and told my young adult son that he's out of the Will if he doesn't vote for Obama.

      Vote for OBAMA and ALL downticket DEMS 2012!

      • Callyson

        A cheerful upfist for you!

    • Blueb4sinrise


    • Negropolis

      GOTV or GTFO.

      I can't believe no one did that before me.

  • sbj1964

    I sense Dick Morris created this map.

    • Not_So_Much

      You felt like someone was sucking your toe?

  • Mittens Howell, III

    Tinkerbell's polling system is VERY rigorous.

  • Time to just split into five countries: Jesusland, Pacifica, The Empire Nation State, The Great Lake Nation and New Mexico.

  • Antispandex

    Well, I have a map too, that I got from the Auto Club, and it doesn't look anything like that. MUCH more color. Do we vote now?

  • Mittens Howell, III

    Andrew Sullivan just set his beard on fire.

    • Sully is unhinged lately…. Also kinda pissed that once again I lost his contest by a window.

    • Pat_Pending

      Who is she?

      • Stevola

        Beat me to it

  • Red State Geography Class: Covers your state and the states that touch you, in case they attack. All the rest is Europe which is where the gays are made.

    • Show us on the map where the blue state touched you.

      • Red States all adher to BIBLICAL MARRIAGE! We Would Never let a Blue State Touch.. oh hello blue.. (psst I'm in room #412, knock three times, the password is "Orgy") NEVER EVER TOUCH A BLUE STATE!!

  • Mittens Howell, III

    Mitt's tips Amercia like a drunken frat boy tipping a dumb cow? We make it up, you … whatever

  • One_Man_Band

    Well, I did finally see a Romney/Ryan bumper sticker the other day. I guess Republicans across the land are now half-heartedly peeling the backing off of those and placing them in a prominent area of the bumper, just above the truck nutz.

    • BerkeleyBear

      I've noticed a few in the last week in a blue state.

      • LePiston

        I've been seeing them in *gasp* the Bay Area! It's usually on a car being driven by an old, though.

    • Yellerdawg

      I live in the reddest county in the reddest state of the U of S and I see VERY few Romney/Ryan signs. Just saw the first large one yesterday alongside some local race signs. Some small yard signs, but not many. Until recently, as in the last month or so, one of my neighbors had a 6X6 homemade sign suspended from tree in their yard touting Palin for president and Bachmann for vice president. They were the neighborhood progressives 'cause both were women.

  • savethispatient

    Fantasy land! Lets all just go out and take a breath of fresh air for a tick… And as for that tied map, I'm not convinced that Colorado is more likely to be a Romney win than New Mexico, surely it's more likely to be the other way round, in which case OBAMA STILL WINS.

    • savethispatient

      Oh, apparently not.. Never mind, the sky is falling! The sky is falling!

    • Willardbot9000_V2.5

      It's not going to be that close…these fucking wingnut primates are schmoking poles as usual and of course the dumbass liberal media is doing its usual. I wanted to strangle 2/3rds of MSNBC after that debate and yell "talk about facts you fucking idiots!"…Rachel Maddow lost a lot of respect on that one, too. The only person who was THE LEAST bit interested in talking about substance was Al Sharpton. Oh sure, Romney lied and lied and lied some more but did you see him make eye contact? fucking imbeciles…anyway, it's not going to be that close, I seriously doubt it.

    • Negropolis

      New Mexico is very hispanic and much poorer (is it still the poorest state in the nation?). It'd most definitely fall later than Colorado would. Colorado is definitely trending our way, but it's not as reliably blue as New Mexico has become.

  • YouBetcha

    Good. Let's hope this scares the liberals and the Medicare-loving olds into showing up and voting. Obama supporters are too complacent.

  • Mittens Howell, III

    The blue island thingies next to Alaska–that's Kenya, right?

  • Jus_Wonderin

    If you say something enough, people will begin to believe it. Such as Mitt Romney is NOT a liar.

  • LastGasp

    And yet, the Ron Paul camp has a map that shows he'll win in November…

  • Am I blue
    Am I blue
    Ain't these tears in my eyes tellin' you
    Am I blue
    You would be too
    If your plans with your man
    Done fell through
    There was a time
    I was the only one
    And now I'm the sad and lonely one, lonely, lonely
    Was I gay, until today
    Now he's gone and we're through
    Am I blue

  • 1stNewtontheMoon

    To be fair Fox News polled the Republican Party Chair of each state, and Mitt squeaked out a victory based on the above map.

  • coolhandnuke

    I looked and I looked really hard, but i can't find Glennbeckistan, Werefucklandia, Northshitstain, and Nannystate anywhere on this map.

    • mrpuma2u

      Redneckistan and Freedumbdonia are missing too.

      • Jus_Wonderin

        Though it is not correctly labeled, Wannakeepmygovermentstuffandyoucannothavenoshitstan is clearly marked in red.

  • HempDogbane

    VP T-Paw tipped Minnesota into the red !

  • mirrorballdc

    I shall attack from Kamchatka

    • delaney_blom

      Though I have 100 armies, I choose to roll only one defensive die.

  • red_kira

    Democrats everywhere wee themselves, lavishly and in unison. (Thanks, Bill Bryson!)

    • kyeshinka

      He came from Des Moines. Somebody had to.

  • snowpointsecret

    So red is "we have no idea what we're doing" and blue is "we really have no idea what we're doing", right?

  • tbogg

    I hate it when America's wang is red and inflamed.

    • Dudleydidwrong

      Is that what the eddie ator meant when he wrote about someone biting a "wee cock"? Sorta describes Florida, though.

    • vtxmcrider

      Red and inflamed dicks offer nothing but an angry and vindictive fuck.

  • Mittens Howell, III

    The big red blob looks like a mugger holding a gun.

  • Not_So_Much

    What about the Moonbase? Will Emperor Newt demand it be painted Red?

  • SnarkOff

    Needz moar hanging chads.

  • ChrisM2011

    Looks slightly… Skewed.

  • this just in: FN calls Canada for Romney.

  • DaSandman

    Mittens has a week without fuckups and everyone runs around like Chicken Little about to get hit by an asteroid. He was lucky, even a blind pig finds an acorn every once in awhile.

    Barry just be warming up…he was a little busy last time with his gig, you know… RUNNIN' THE WORLD.

    Mittens gonna get some Bid Laden level heat this week.

    Breathe,motherfuckers, breathe.

    • zumpie

      I wouldn't even say it's been a week. His foreign policy speech was panned yesterday, his walking back the 47% comments 17 days showed him to be the flip flopper we all know and love. Not to mention his family having to protect him and his circuit board from possible overload.

      Plus Munster threw a hissy fit yesterday and held a NO CAMERAS ALLOWED fundraiser. Cause, you know, everyone really digs all their secrecy and stuff.

      • was that speech panned? i didn't really hear that.

        i mean, I panned it, but i've been hearing nothing but wall to wall pro romney coverage (on npr) so it's hard to tel.

        • zumpie

          No, they did. Including Republicans and military types. At best they thought it was same old, same old and asked how did it differ from any other foreign policy speech.

          The only person I've seen praise it was SE Cupp. The same moron who runs around asking if Bams made a mistake in picking Handsome Joe in 2008. You know, when they won and stuff.

  • That's it! CD-2 in Nebraska will be the savior of the nation if we can keep it blue (like in 2008) and toss that vote from R-Money to Obama. Don't worry guyz, we're on it!

  • You know who else had unrealistic expectations of victory late in the game?

    • Rafalca?

    • snowpointsecret

      Greg Schiano?

    • Crank_Tango

      Jerry Sandusky?

    • kyeshinka

      von Ribbentrop?

    • Harold Camping?

    • Mittaplasia

      Christianists in the coliseum on game day?

    • CindynEncinitas

      Lindsey Jacobellis.

    • mrpuma2u

      Emperor Palpatine?

    • AutomaticPilot

      The Buffalo Bills, in every game?

    • UnholyMoses

      Every team from Kansas City that doesn't play soccer … ?

    • UnholyMoses

      Al Gore

    • SpeedoFart


    • Suzanne Stone?

    • TheGyrus

      The Nationals?

    • delaney_blom

      The 2007-2008 New England Patriots

    • MosesInvests

      Baghdad Bob?

    • LibertyLover

      Reagan? ( i mean if we are freaking out and all…)

    • Stevola

      The Phillies?

  • Oblios_Cap

    Congratualtions corporate Media! You are serving your masters well and faithfully.

    As far as actually doing your job and serving the rest of us, not so much.

  • Estproph

    I would never have thought there were that many nosepickers in the country.

    • zumpie

      Don't you mean NOOSEPICKERS???

  • EatsBabyDingos

    Transvaginal Virginia. Its always about Transvaginal Virginia.

  • EatsBabyDingos

    Good to see DC has finally been towed 200 miles east of Nags Head. It'll be a shorter drive on Saturdays in July.

  • Doktor Zoom

    This can't be a Fox News map. It has the state borders accurately drawn and labelled.

    • anniegetyerfun

      Totals also don't add up to more than 100%.

      • delaney_blom

        You think it's easy to sum to 100 using only two significant digits?

  • Allmighty_Manos

    No fucking way Romney's winning Nevada. Too many very organized union members and Latinos. Hooray!

  • Oh, Fox. What a bunch of li'l scamps!

    • anniegetyerfun

      You misspelled "skanks".

    • Mittaplasia

      You over-spelled "scams".

  • Dudleydidwrong

    "Election forecasting model projects Romney Win" Faux Nudes
    "It ain't over 'til its over" Yogi Berra
    "Faux Nudes a wee bit cocky" Wonkette
    "OK! OK! I understand. Time to get my track shoes on" Barry O
    "We have awakened a sleeping giant and have instilled in him a terrible resolve" Isoroku Yamamoto (attributed)

    "WE HOPE!" All of us

  • Goonemeritus

    I just consulted some fresh bird entrails and they totally refute Fox’s predictions. You can say what you want about the old ways but you can’t accuse them of being overtly partisan.

    • natl_[redacted]_cmdr

      It wasn't Big Bird was it?

  • God Silver has Bamz at almost 75% to win. So too, does my bookie. 270-to-win needz to use both their fingers and their toes to do their counting.

    Faux Newz doesn't count for shit. Their arithmetic skills are also lacking.

    • zumpie

      270 to win actually shows Bams at 95% likely, with a less than 1% chance at a tie.

      • On the map our Editrix just clicked some clickies to get a "user generated" 269-269 hello Mr. Boner tie. That said, 270's 95% odds appear to be the result from them smoking vast amounts of some seriously optimystical weed.

  • zumpie

    Actually, I think Faux was being generous. Under their logic Bams would only carry NY and CA. Oh and HI, because according to my FIL who retired there, it's full of lazy moochers, sucking on the gubmint teat. But that doesn't include him OR his medicare! That said, Mittens is gonna take NM, which polls stronger for Obama than MY state (OR) does? Not freakin' likely.

    Also, too: WONKETTE!!!!!!!!! All these Dem pussies here are already shitting the bed daily from one, whole, entire, bad debate performance and some outlier polls. You really SHOULD tell them that 270 to Win gives Obama a 95% chance of winning and puts an electoral tie at less than 1%

    • bikerlaureate

      It's just that the words "Governor Romney Will Win" are so upsetting.
      Hold me…

      • zumpie

        Don't cry, mommy's here.

  • lulzmonger

    Good to see the paint-chips are kicking in at FOX-HQ.

    Now we need to get Gretchen & the lads to lick some Colorado River toads right before the polls close on election day, & let the infotainment commence!

  • mustangsavvy

    The horror, the horror!

  • snowpointsecret

    Actually as I look closer at this map I'm getting highly confused. Minnesota isn't even close… If you're going to make a really crazy pick why not Oregon? Or maybe Michigan?

    Or, you could stick with reality and have Obama leading but it's Fox News.

  • cheetojeebus

    "I've been kissed by dogs, been bit by dogs, I've been me"
    Roger Ailes

  • I am impressed that the FOX folks managed to color within the lines.

  • Beach_Bubba_Tex

    I guess the Mayans were right.

  • CindynEncinitas

    All they need to do is get it close, then they start cheating, taking the voting boxes home, fucking around with the chads, posting INS agents at the polling places where there's Metsicans, calling in favors from the Supremes, you know the routine…

  • Gleem McShineys

    Did Karl Rove loan them The Math to figure out this map?

    • cousinitt

      No, he loaned them the Meth, the Meth to figgur it out.

  • Mittaplasia

    People will actually vote for a zombie-baptizing culty warmongering vulture capitalist ROBOT just because he ISN'T the black guy, and you tell me not to worry? I wanna' be sedated!

  • BeefHardcake

    I attack with my unit in Greenland.

  • ChickTract_Fil_A

    My back yard better show up in blue on that map.

  • voodooeconomics

    In the Parallel Universe Mitt Romney will defeat John McCain and assume this here Estados can see by the map that John Blue has no chance

  • voodooeconomics

    When Nate says so, then it is..

  • DahBoner

    Obama's Rope-a-Dope strategy seems to be working out quite well on Those People…

  • speaking as a newly unemployed person, i for one can't wait for that job president romney will give me on nov 7.

  • Esteev

    Polls matter again! Shit, I am so confused… about the polls. Definitely about the polls.

  • Gleem McShineys

    Wow, that's awesome! I love alternate history stories. In this one, "Romney" is what, George Romney, his likeable father, instead of a douchemonster?

    Cool story, bro.

  • BerkeleyBear

    Seriously, can we stop the sky is falling meme? I know it is conforming to both Dem and GOP bias to have the Dem as a weak, unable to fight back loser, but this is Barry O we are talking about. He's got 2 more debates, good job numbers and a much better ground organization. Plus, we've already got evidence that the debate bump was washed out by the jobs numbers from Friday, meaning that is was (exactly as predicted by everyone not paid to have a controversial race) not a game changer.

    Chill the fuck out – he's got this (but do GOTV efforts, they matter).

  • Beowoof

    Thanks, now I feel obligated to Bamz more $. Hoping to stem the bleeding of red all over the map.

    And what's this about a secret Wonkette Chatroom?

    • Isyaignert

      I think the secert chatroom is where the writers and Editrix confer.

    • Stevola

      It's a quiet room

  • VinnieSaltine

    I have a fun map, too! It's a map of which states received more in federal spending than they contributed in federal tax dollars. Suprise, Surprise…the majority of states that receive more Federal Monies are those commie socialist red states!

  • LibrarianX

    I love how they hang onto the words NEWS. It's adorable.

  • aussiefromafar

    All that red is like a bad rash spreading across the country….

  • fatbob54

    Sombody stabbed Mercia in its stomach and it's bleeding.

  • randcoolcatdaddy

    Red Commies!

  • ttommyunger

    Well, this certainly settles the matter once and for all.

  • Negropolis

    Can we just start calling "Mormon Mitt" from here until November and just sew this thing up, already? I mean, if they are going to keep on with the "did we mention the president is black" thing, maybe it's time to play hardball.

    The only thing I'm worried about is not that we're losing, but that we're not putting this thing away decisively enough. Mr. 46% shouldn't even be considered as a legitimate option.

  • Stevola

    Fox commentators have wee cocks.


    Love how Fox News always calls him "Governor" Romney.

  • fitley

    That map smells like Brian Kilmeade.

  • I totally agree with Mittens Howell

  • Akshay Kalaria
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