WASHINGTON, DC, 12:02 AM, MON MARCH 22 | Advertise on Wonkette | tips@wonkette.com | SUBMIT A TIP | RSS
HE CHEATS BY WINNING

Oh hai!OBAMA LEADS BY 14 POINTS AMONG LIKELY VOTERS: “The Obama-Biden ticket now leads the McCain-Palin ticket 53 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, a 14-point margin. One week ago, prior to the Town Hall debate that uncommitted voters saw as a win for Obama, that margin was just three points. ” Too bad he’s a robot! Pointy-headed intellectual Nate Silver suggests the CBS News poll result may be “a modest outlier,” so do not get your panties in a lather just yet. [CBS News]


8:57 AM on Wed October 15 2008
By Sara K. Smith
1269 Views

  1. Serolf Divad says at 9:05 am, October 15th, 2008

    Shocking to think that the initial bump provided the McCain campaign by a scientifically-illiterate Bible thumper who regularly reads “anything and everything” that happens to be lying on the coffee table at the hair salon and has used her gubernatorial position as a launching pad for personal vendettas has worn off, and he the McCain disaster of a campaign now trails in the polls.

  2. slithytoves says at 9:27 am, October 15th, 2008

    Nate Silver has kept me sane for three months, so I would blow him, if he wanted.

  3. El Bombastico says at 9:28 am, October 15th, 2008

    Last post included “cream your pants”. This one features “panties in a lather.” Is there something going on today we should know about?

  4. JamesMichaelCurley says at 9:28 am, October 15th, 2008

    I have been looking for a ‘tipping point’, a point at which McCain’s staff should start assessing how long they can go without a pay check. I set it at all Kerry states polling consistently at 51% or better and enough Bush states polling consistently at 51% or better so that the total is 270 electoral votes. We are there. All Kerry states plus IA and MO are polling consistently at 51% or better. The rest (like NM at 52% and leading in FL, VA WV, CO, OH, NV and North Dakota(?)) are gravy. The delicious irony of all Kerry states plus IA and MO is that equals exactly 270 electoral votes.

    All I can say is that Kerry Electoral College elector who forgot to mark her ballot when she sealed the envolope in 2004 better be outtathere.

  5. 4tehlulz says at 9:29 am, October 15th, 2008

    slithytoves: What about anal? Would you let him do that?

  6. Tommy Says Soooo says at 9:29 am, October 15th, 2008

    The reason horny libtards like Nate McLovin are getting prematurely hard is that, if they play their cards right, are going to get laid on Election Night.

    No, not by some patchouli-scented, Sylvia Plath reader. The smart ones will natty up and go to their local GOP HQ where the crying gals will be easy pickins. Even the Log Cabin gays will be vulnerable, so gay Wonketteers will just have to forgo the bathhouse bravado and act like they’re conflicted, what with the right wing economics and teh buttsecks.

    If I weren’t married, that’s what I would be doing. You’d be able to bury your face in that beehive.

    But since I am married to a libtard, I will have instead the lecture about male fascistic patriarchy and the harm it’s done to civilization for a gazillion years. Unless I buy her some jewelry.

  7. mattbolt says at 9:30 am, October 15th, 2008

    First we creamed our panties over Macbooks, then lathered them over CBS News polls. I swear, the next news story had better make us rinse, then repeat. I hope it’s a Hopey sextape!

  8. 4tehlulz says at 9:30 am, October 15th, 2008

    El Bombastico: Sara apparently is doing the laundry.

  9. Serolf Divad says at 9:31 am, October 15th, 2008

    El Bombastico:

    Sadly I suspect it’s nothing more than Sarah blogging on her laptop from the laundromat.

  10. It’s not over ’til the fat racist sings.

  11. El Bombastico: Last post included “cream your pants”. This one features “panties in a lather.” Is there something going on today we should know about

    As far as I’m concerned Sara K. Smith can include any and all types of sexual references in her posts that she desires. I creates the illusion that she’s kinda slutty and that I might have a shot with her.

  12. slithytoves says at 9:33 am, October 15th, 2008

    4tehlulz: Sigh. Probably. I’m a slut for mental health.

  13. ABitOfACommunist says at 9:34 am, October 15th, 2008

    But…Nate also said that if this IS a modest outlier, it’s one of 8 or so “modest outliers”, national polls that put obama ahead by double digits.

    Also interesting: i’m usually bored by national polls, since the popular vote doesn’t decide anything, but then I noticed something. The probability of Obama losing the popular vote by more than three points and winning the election is .09%, but the probability of McCain losing the popular vote by more than three points and winning the election is 0.00%!! That means (if we assume Obama is up by, roughly, 8 points) that McCain has to turn that popular vote around by about 5 points before he has a statistically noticable chance of winning, on any electoral collage configuration!

  14. Canuckledragger says at 9:35 am, October 15th, 2008

    I don’t care WHAT these polls say. I won’t/don’t know what to believe unless and until Laura Ingalls Wildest returns here with polling numbers that prove ONLY Hillary can win the important swing states where the alienated hard-working white voters are.

    LIW has never been wrong.

  15. mattbolt says at 9:35 am, October 15th, 2008

    Q2: Is “U S A! U S A!” a song? If so, fat racists have been singing non-stop at campaign stops nationwide for months

  16. queeraselvis v 2.0 says at 9:38 am, October 15th, 2008

    I can appreciate any columnist who brings up the “dead girl/live boy” political paradigm. *applauds*

  17. Tommy Says Soooo says at 9:38 am, October 15th, 2008

    4tehlulz: Win. Though it may be the post of the year, not for what you think, but for “if he wanted”. Now that is about the funniest thing I have ever read here. Um, I’m thinking if the stars aligned just so and his friends didn’t want to play D&D that night, Nate might be, reluctantly, persuaded.

  18. I am confident that right-wing nut-jobs are secretly conspiring to answer the phone and lie about their preference, so that when MCCAIN WINS IN A LANDSLIDE, the media is left exposed in the cold as a bunch of LYING COMMUNISS HOMOSEXUISTS with its pants down. (Of course, if they could coordinate such a successful manipulation, you should think they could also coordinate an election, and wouldn’t need to…)

  19. 51% of the voters ar in the tank for Obama

  20. I hope Barry can get money out of a rock, possibly by striking it with a stick, as we’re between Iraq and a hard place.

  21. forgracie says at 9:48 am, October 15th, 2008

    Osama Bin Laden is thawing somewhere in an Army base in Afghanistan. Stay vigilant libtards!

  22. Serolf Divad says at 9:58 am, October 15th, 2008

    4tehlulz:
    Jinx!

  23. mr.november says at 10:02 am, October 15th, 2008

    Sounds like premature calculation to me.

  24. Smackdown says at 10:07 am, October 15th, 2008

    I would also totally hit that Nate action. It’s what a lawful good paladin would do.

  25. sarahconnor says at 10:12 am, October 15th, 2008

    And if I see Obama’s reflection in a snow-covered hill…

  26. vintageways says at 10:16 am, October 15th, 2008

    Is Obama Two-Face, or am I so seeped in pop culture I can’t function?

    And I, too, would hit Nate.

  27. slappypaddy says at 10:19 am, October 15th, 2008

    sarahconnor: …will the landslide bring me down?

  28. yorktronic says at 10:19 am, October 15th, 2008

    If Obama is the T-100, then what is McCain? A toaster. From 1938.

  29. yorktronic says at 10:21 am, October 15th, 2008

    forgracie: Wrong. He’s deep within the Hoover Dam guarded by John Voight and John Turturro.

  30. natteringnaybob says at 10:21 am, October 15th, 2008

    I wonder what Mr. Diebold is going to have to say about all this.

  31. Am I crazy or is Robama up there made from Evil Robot Bill & Ted from Bogus Journey?

  32. dilhavarti says at 10:32 am, October 15th, 2008

    vintageways: Yul Brynner

  33. yorktronic says at 10:37 am, October 15th, 2008

    Godot: You are right and I was wrong.

  34. BruceLee5000 says at 10:42 am, October 15th, 2008

    Does that photo remind anyone else of the Sealab 2021 “I, Robot” episode?

    The whole thing is hilarious, but jump ahead to 1:35 remaining.

    BarryBot 10,000 ain’t askin’ forgiveness and he don’t want your pity…

  35. Yes, but Ron Paul is KILLING among unlikely voters.

  36. BruceLee5000: Pretty much everything in life right now resembles a Sealab 2021 episode. Especially the coming massive explosion of everything we know.

  37. shortsshortsshorts says at 10:53 am, October 15th, 2008

    WHY DOES REALITY HAVE A LIBERAL BIAS?

  38. NY TIMES: Dick Cheney suffers irregular heart beat!

    http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/washington/AP-Cheney.html?hp

  39. i is on ur blogz, redin ur wordz says at 11:28 am, October 15th, 2008

    Its easy to explain why Hopey is winning in terms of who their base is … (which also explains the differences in Grampy and Caribou Barbie’s stump speeches)

    Grampy’s base is Rich White Folk, which is why he says Obama “will raise your taxes”
    Caribou Barbie’s base is Poor White Folk, which is why she says “Obama isn’t like you or I”

    Biden talks to Blue Collar Workers, which are like Poor White Folk with decent paying jobs.
    Obama talks to everyone else, aka “The Middle Class”

    Apart from the fact that the Middle Class is huge, there are also less Rich White Folk as of 2 weeks ago.

  40. Cape Clod says at 11:37 am, October 15th, 2008

    Over at the Great Orange Satan, Markos is tossing red meat by the truckload to his minions. ‘CRUSH THEM! CRUSH THEM!’

  41. regisgoat says at 11:43 am, October 15th, 2008

    mcfrady: But That’s Not The Shape of His Heart Dept.:
    From the Times:

    “He (Cheney) has had quadruple bypass surgery and two artery-clearing angioplasties. In 2001, he had a special pacemaker implanted in his chest. The pacemaker’s battery was replaced last year, and then the entire device was replaced. In 2005, he had surgery to repair an arterial aneurysm on the back of each knee. In his checkup in July, doctors said Cheney’s heart was beating normally for a man of his age and health history.
    Aw, “The Angler” is going to get a shovel and bury us all. And then he’s going after The Obamatron.

  42. Tommy Says Soooo says at 11:44 am, October 15th, 2008

    i is on ur blogz, redin ur wordz: Apart from the fact that the Middle Class is huge

    Hater. All they can afford is Wal-mart pop and Krispy Kremes and you just hafta be an elitist about it.

    Walnuts does indeed have a big tent, and it’s used to clothe Wal-mart shoppers.

  43. Can we send intrepid girl reporter Liz Glover to interview Nate Silver?

    It would be teh sexy Wonkette romance!

  44. Tommy Says Soooo says at 11:47 am, October 15th, 2008

    Cape Clod: Markos and His Big Fat Greek Wallet knows the commodity futures on fleecing his own tender brand of tard sheep.

  45. Tommy - clearly you are an elite degenerate Manhattanite, otherwise you would know that Dollar Store is the retail outlet of choice. Why drive 8 1/2 miles in any direction?

  46. Tommy Says Soooo says at 11:58 am, October 15th, 2008

    nurple: If I were an elitist, why would I pay Consuela in worthless American dollars to get perfect creases in my smoking jacket and press my Ascots? She sends them home to Guatemala so they can save on firewood, compassionate David Frumian that I am.

  47. JadedDIssonance says at 12:22 pm, October 15th, 2008

    So, which one is Steve Martin, and which one is Martin?

  48. Rodney Badger says at 12:28 pm, October 15th, 2008

    Barack Obama is not going to be president of anything. Just internalize it, right now. I say this out of love, because I don’t want you guys to all kill yourselves on the Night of November the Fourth. Have you not yet learned that liberals will never know joy?

  49. OrangeAlert says at 2:04 pm, October 15th, 2008

    i predict an obama sex tape involving ed-209 and cherry 3000 will be the “october surprise”.

  50. Of course its an outlier, Obama’s probably only leading by 10 or 11 points, not a ridiculous 14. That’s all going to change tonight, McCain is going to be sitting and that’ll reduce all the wandering around he can do. He won’t look as ancient or out of touch. That margin is gonna come crashing down to a slightly less embarrassing 6 or 7.

    http://thesebastards.blogspot.com/

  51. Scandalabra says at 5:44 pm, October 15th, 2008

    The last time I had a lather in my panties there was also a shoplifted sirloin in there. It was already browned before I slapped it into the skillet with the Bernaise!

Leave a Reply